Products

Three industry verticals. One physics engine. Every number live.

We stopped selling "a platform with 90 modules" and started shipping three vertical flagships (insurance, infrastructure, energy), all built on the same multi-physics tensor. The thirty narrow classifiers below each vertical are the receipts, not the sales object.

Proof layer · 30 narrow classifiers

Inside the engine: what each classifier does.

Each classifier has its own features, training corpus, and operating-point threshold. We do not quote accuracy figures for them: cross-validated scores from this model population are not reliable, and a live-ledger hit rate measures coverage, not skill. Each card says what the classifier does and where it stands.

Earthquake family

Retired
lost to the base rate on its forward record · retired from the ledger 2026-10-10
Global tensor EQ classifier
USGS M≥6.0 within 7 days. 18,000+-dim tensor inputs, real-outcome training. When we ran the temporal holdout on the sibling per-region classifier (July 2026), its score fell to chance: treat this as a ranking score.
Research
per-region heads · a sealed July 2026 temporal holdout measured this family at chance (HYP-9fb3d2fa)
Per-region tensor heads (69 regions)
Region-specific classifiers using same tensor + region-filtered USGS labels. Nightly retrains. The live ledger record, not cross-validation, is the operational metric.
Research
N ≥ 3 channels · |z| ≥ 2 · precision not yet measured
Multi-physics convergence gate
Gravity · thermal · strain · cosmic-ray · magnetic · seismic · hydro · tilt. Independent error models compound multiplicatively.
vs USGS
sealed probabilities, scored beside the USGS forecast
ETAS aftershock forecaster
Omori + Gutenberg-Richter + Wells-Coppersmith + Båth. Fires on any M5+ mainshock; forecasts counts, mag, extent.
Detector
reactive classification · no accuracy figure quoted
Swarm detector
Single-link spatial clustering of M2.5+ with mag-variance gate (excludes aftershock sequences). Classifies the present, doesn't forecast.
Research
no accuracy figure quoted
Magnitude estimator (enhanced)
Predicts magnitude bucket (M2.5–4, 4–5, 5–6, 6+). Trained on 188 real precursor snapshots with 91 features across 11 physics sources.

Geyser suite

Per-geyser predictors trained on GeyserTimes API v5 eruption reports. The bulk Old Faithful 12% number collapses into individual high-skill products at the per-geyser level (small samples; see per-geyser counts).

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Daisy
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Beehive
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Riverside
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Steamboat (Norris)
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Old Faithful (NPS)
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Old Faithful (bulk)

Solar & space weather

Research
a C-class flare within 24 h is common, so a hit rate would measure coverage, not skill
Tensor solar flare classifier
C-class or larger within 24 h. NOAA GOES X-ray outcome labels, 70 samples.
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Forbush decrease / cosmic-ray
NMDB multi-station Forbush detection via proton-flux ≥5 pfu, spike ratio ≥3×, Kp ≥4 (any 2 of 3).
Kp forecast
obs-matched via NOAA SWPC
Geomagnetic Kp forecaster
Multi-horizon nowcast against NOAA SWPC Kp. Not currently scored on the public hit-rate; API-only.

Volcano & reactive narrow

NEW
band-power + harmonic score
Volcanic tremor detector
0.5–5 Hz band-power + duration + harmonic score + GVP volcano proximity.
NEW
5 null-signature probes
Skyquake detector
Classifies atmospheric booms with no seismic source. Rules out bolide, EQ, volcano, thunder, sonic boom via 5 independent feeds.
NEW
tsunami null-signature
Anomalous wave detector
Sea-level anomalies without a matching seismic source. Probes USGS M6+ submarine EQ, GVP flank collapse, meteotsunami.
NEW
magnetic null-signature
Magnetic pulse detector
B-field transients without solar origin. Rules out SWPC Kp, solar wind IMF, lightning.
live
GOES GLM confirmed · reactive detection
Bolide alert
Real-time bolide detection from GOES Geostationary Lightning Mapper. Paired with the AMS meteorite-fall detector.

Every one of these reports back to the same ledger.

Open any alert from any product. See which features fired, what z-scores they hit, which observations matched, the SHA-256 row hash. No product is a black box.

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