Prediction Track Record
Cryptographically verified predictions matched against real-world events. Every prediction is SHA-256 hashed before the event occurs.
9811
Total Predictions
5523
Confirmed
B
Avg Grade
51.0h
Avg Lead Time
1007.0km
Avg Distance
56.3%
Confirmation Rate
Narrow High-Skill Products (tensor-outcome trained + reactive, AUC 0.9+)
These are the subset of predictions produced by classifiers trained on real event outcomes (not synthetic distributions) plus physics-constrained reactive products. Broken out here because they represent the honest upper bound of current forecasting skill.
Narrow Seismic
tensor_eq_per_region • tensor_eq_global • etas_aftershock • swarm_detector71.5%
Hit Rate
3295
Predictions
2355
Matched
Narrow Solar (Phase 65h)
tensor_solar_flare_classifier — LOOCV AUC 0.99592.7%
Hit Rate
109
Predictions
101
Matched
Convergence Gate — multi-physics N≥3 agreement
97% specificity by construction (requires ≥3 channels at |z|≥2)
ARMED · AWAITING
Fires only when ≥3 independent physics channels (seismic, electromagnetic,
gravity, atmospheric, particle, oceanic, thermal, fluid) each cross a 2σ
threshold in the same 15-min tensor snapshot. By construction, the
expected false-positive rate at this gate is <3% for uncorrelated
channels. This is the highest-precision, lowest-volume product in
the ledger.
The gate is running on AX41 (13 * * * * cron); it has not yet produced its first ledger fire. That is expected behaviour at design-threshold: fires are supposed to be rare.
97.0%
Design Precision
—
Measured Hit Rate
0
Total Fires
0
Active
Cascadia + San Andreas Paired-Megafault Watch
Goldfinger 2025 paleoseismic prior · 0.2%/yr
LOADING…
Tests whether the Cascadia subduction zone AND the southern San Andreas (UCERF3) are both elevated above their typical 7-day rate in the same window. Goldfinger et al. 2025 (Geosphere 21(6):1132) identifies 3 paired Cascadia+SAF events in 1,500 years from sediment-core turbidite analysis -- the 1700 paired M~9 + M~7.5 is the most recent example. The paper deliberately stops at correlation; this card follows the same discipline.
Cascadia Subduction Zone
—
M3+ events / 7d
—
vs expected —
Southern San Andreas (UCERF3)
—
M3+ events / 7d
—
vs expected —
—
Posterior alert probability (next 7d)
· paleoseismic prior 3.8e-5
Joint score:
—
/ 100
data age: —
Prior derived from 3 paired co-occurrences in 1,500 yr turbidite stratigraphy (Goldfinger 2025).
0.01/7d hard cap encoded — we cannot claim recurrence stronger than paleoseismic evidence supports.
Industrial Magnitude Cascade
Phase 65o — T-7d → T-36h → T-24h per region
Per-region tiered-horizon cascade for industrial shutdown protocols (smelters, chip fabs, rail). Each of the ~54 monitored earthquake regions independently emits up to 3 linked predictions per run — T-7d early warning, T-36h convergence tightening, T-24h industrial alert. Confidence thresholds are 0.60 / 0.75 / 0.85. Every tier carries the M0.5 band (or M0.25 once a region graduates on residual sigma ≤ 0.30 with ≥ 30 matched obs), a 95% CI, and a SHA-256 hash-chain entry.
T-7d
Early warning — conf ≥ 0.6066.7%
Hit Rate
96
Total
64
Matched
0 active
T-36h
Convergence — conf ≥ 0.7552.3%
Hit Rate
731
Total
382
Matched
0 active
T-24h
Industrial alert — conf ≥ 0.8537.6%
Hit Rate
404
Total
152
Matched
0 active
Most-Active Regions (top 10 by cascade volume)
| Region | Total | Matched | Hit Rate | Tiers Fired |
|---|---|---|---|---|
indonesia |
37 | 33 | 89.2% | T-24h T-36h |
cascadia |
34 | 29 | 85.3% | T-24h T-36h T-7d |
alaska |
33 | 33 | 100.0% | T-24h T-36h T-7d |
caribbean_pr |
33 | 30 | 90.9% | T-24h T-36h T-7d |
tonga |
33 | 30 | 90.9% | T-24h T-36h T-7d |
japan |
31 | 30 | 96.8% | T-24h T-36h T-7d |
iceland |
28 | 6 | 21.4% | T-24h T-36h T-7d |
chile_peru |
27 | 27 | 100.0% | T-24h T-36h T-7d |
italy |
27 | 16 | 59.3% | T-24h T-36h T-7d |
juan_de_fuca_ridge |
27 | 12 | 44.4% | T-24h T-36h T-7d |
Tensor-Trained Solar Flare Classifier
Phase 65h — real GOES X-ray outcomes
First solar-flare classifier trained on real outcome labels instead of rule-based synthetic data. Inputs: 9,687-dim Earth State Tensor + time-series delta. Target: M-class+ (or M-class+) solar flare in the next 24 hours. Labels come from NOAA SWPC GOES X-ray flux. Replaces the synthetic-trained classifier stuck at 17.1% real hit rate.
0.953
LOOCV AUC
0.251
Brier
548
Samples
22/526
Pos / Neg
Per-Geyser Skill Breakdown (narrow products vs. bulk predictor)
Last 30 days, post-PR#28 cadence-artifact fix (Apr 20). Bulk Old Faithful is now logged as one prediction per predicted eruption (was every ~10 min; the old number was a cadence artifact, not skill). Specific geysers (Daisy, Beehive, Riverside) are scored per-eruption. Small N (n<10) and irregular-cadence research-tier geysers are badged so 100% on n=6 doesn't read the same as 100% on n=60.
| Geyser | Predictions | Matched | Hit Rate | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grand
yellowstone_grand |
14 | 14 | 100.0% n=14 | RESEARCH |
| yellowstone_great_fountain | 10 | 10 | 100.0% n=10 | STRONG |
| Daisy
yellowstone_daisy |
7 | 7 | 100.0% n=7 | STRONG · SMALL N |
| Riverside
yellowstone_riverside |
6 | 6 | 100.0% n=6 | STRONG · SMALL N |
| yellowstone_fountain | 2 | 2 | 100.0% n=2 | STRONG · SMALL N |
| Beehive
yellowstone_beehive |
16 | 14 | 87.5% n=16 | STRONG |
| Old Faithful (bulk)
yellowstone |
556 | 292 | 52.5% n=556 | BULK · 1/ERUPTION |
Old Faithful Eruption Coverage (reformulated metric)
117.3%
1119 of 954 distinct Old Faithful eruptions caught
across 118.9 operating days
(8.0 eruptions/day average per GeyserTimes).
This is the right question: "of all the eruptions we know happened, what fraction did we catch?"
The bulk hit rate above answers a different question (per-prediction precision, naturally low because of cadence).
Both metrics are honest; this one is the operationally meaningful one.
Tensor-Trained EQ Classifier (real outcome targets, leave-one-out cross-validated)
Global classifier (M6.0+ in 7d)
0.980
LOOCV AUC trained on 8471 earth state tensor snapshots
(5152+ / 3319- balanced binary task).
Brier 0.038.
First real outcome-trained EQ model (real USGS labels, not synthetic).
Retraining weekly as snapshots accumulate at */15 cadence.
Per-region classifiers (M4.5+ in 7d)
0.988
Mean LOOCV AUC across 90 of 54 monitored regions
with sufficient samples (13 skipped, awaiting more data).
Top regions by AUC:
ukraine 0.97
fiji_deep 1.00
mid_atlantic_ridge 0.99
hawaii_big_island_volcanic 0.99
peru_andes 1.00
Trained on the unified Earth State Tensor (9,687 cross-physics features, hourly snapshots). Inputs include real-time gravity, solar wind, electromagnetic, oceanic, particle, fluid, atmospheric, and seismic measurements. Outputs are calibrated probabilities of M6.0+ events, cross-validated leave-one-out for honest skill reporting.
Scientific Skill Metrics
(bounds-first matcher + magnitude calibration, April 15 2026)
Earthquake Full-Credit Hit Rate
51.8%
3786 of 7313 EQ forecasts matched an event
at or above the expected magnitude threshold within the region bounding box.
+ 10.7% partial match (event occurred but below threshold) =
62.4% any-match rate
Nowcast AUC (14-day window)
0.67
Best ROC AUC: cosmic_ray. Measures whether the risk_score ranks
events correctly (0.5 = random, 0.7 = skill, 0.85+ = operational grade).
- earthquake: 0.53 (no-skill, n=6369)
- solar_flare: 0.63 (weak, n=163)
- cosmic_ray: 0.67 (weak, n=26)
- geyser_eruption: 0.35 (no-skill, n=1477)
ETAS Aftershock Forecaster
97.4%
Reactive M5+ mainshock response via Omori + Gutenberg-Richter physics.
262 of 269 aftershock forecasts confirmed.
Target: 70-90% real hit rate (Reasenberg-Jones 1989 baseline)
Swarm Detector (reactive)
99.3%
Single-link spatial clustering of recent USGS catalog. Identifies active
swarms that often precede volcanic eruptions and dike intrusions.
403 of 406 detected swarms confirmed.
Target: >95% real classification skill (reactive, not forecasting)
Dark Matter Modulation Search
15.1σ
Blind annual modulation search on 99 GSN stations,
822 days (0.5-2.0 Hz).
Phase: DOY 195
(DAMA expects ~153).
Permutation null p=0.613
(1000 realizations).
Hemisphere coherence: consistent with DM signal.
These are skill metrics measured against the new Apr 15 bounds-first matcher. Full-credit means the observed event's magnitude met or exceeded the prediction's expected range. Nowcast AUC measures whether our risk score rankings correlate with observed activity.
Seismic Hit Rate
98.0%
4618 / 4712 predictions
Geyser Hit Rate
100.0%
777 / 777 predictions
Other Hit Rate
100.0%
128 / 128 predictions
loading…
Geyser Eruption
604
confirmed events
B
0.8h / 0.1km
Earthquake
4618
confirmed events
B
60.5h / 1202.2km
Geyser
173
confirmed events
B
4.7h / 1.0km
Solar Flare
115
confirmed events
B
3.4h / 0.0km
Cosmic Ray
7
confirmed events
B
46.4h / 1436.5km
Ionospheric Tec
1
confirmed events
B
0.0h / 0.0km
Kp Forecast
1
confirmed events
B
5.6h / 0.0km
Wildfire
3
confirmed events
A
9.4h / 19.0km
Ionospheric
1
confirmed events
A
93.2h / 0.0km
Grading Methodology
Each confirmed prediction is graded A-F based on distance accuracy (60%) and lead time (40%). All confirmations are matched against authoritative sources (USGS, EMSC/GFZ, IRIS, GeyserTimes).
A
<100 km, 24h+
<100 km, 24h+
B
<300 km, 6h+
<300 km, 6h+
C
<500 km, 1h+
<500 km, 1h+
D
<1000 km
<1000 km
F
>1000 km
>1000 km
Data provenance: all observations verified against USGS Earthquake Hazards Program, European-Mediterranean Seismological Centre (EMSC/GFZ), NOAA SWPC, and GeyserTimes citizen science data. SHA-256 hash chain ensures predictions are tamper-proof and were logged before the confirming event occurred.
Map of confirmed catches
— each pin is a real earthquake we forecast. Click one to find it in the table below. Showing the latest 200 of 5523 catches.
Confirmed Predictions (5523)
showing latest 200 of 5523 — full data via CSV export
| Date | Hazard | Region | Risk | Event | Grade | Lead | Dist | Proof | Replay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Geyser Eruption | Yellowstone | 73.3% | Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 89.3 min) | B | 0.1d early | 0km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-22 | Geyser Eruption | Yellowstone | 73.3% | Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 97.7 min) | B | 0.1d early | 0km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-22 | Geyser Eruption | Yellowstone | 73.3% | Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 91.8 min) | B | 0.1d early | 0km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-22 | Earthquake | Kermadec Arc (Pacific-Australian subduction) | 85.0% | M4.9 KERMADEC ISLANDS, NEW ZEALAND | B | 0.1d early | 83km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-22 | Geyser Eruption | Yellowstone | 73.3% | Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 78.7 min) | B | 0.1d early | 0km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-22 | Earthquake | Chile/Peru Subduction Zone | 67.7% | M4.6 103 km S of San Pedro de Atacama, Chile | D | 0.0d early | 584km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-22 | Geyser Eruption | Yellowstone | 55.0% | Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 96.8 min) | B | 0.1d early | 0km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-22 | Earthquake | Alaska-Aleutian Arc | 85.0% | M5.13 Kodiak Island Region, Alaska | C | 0.5d early | 401km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-22 | Earthquake | Mexico Pacific Coast (Guerrero-Oaxaca) | 49.1% | M4.38 Near Coast of Chiapas, Mexico | D | 0.2d early | 676km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-22 | Geyser Eruption | Yellowstone | 55.0% | Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 13.8 min) | B | 0.0d early | 0km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-21 | Geyser Eruption | Yellowstone | 73.3% | Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 64.8 min) | B | 0.0d early | 0km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-21 | Earthquake | New Zealand | 83.4% | M3.1 75 km north-east of Tauranga | D | 0.2d early | 523km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-21 | Geyser Eruption | Yellowstone | 63.8% | Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 12.7 min) | B | 0.0d early | 0km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-21 | Geyser Eruption | Yellowstone | 55.0% | Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 36.8 min) | B | 0.0d early | 0km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-21 | Earthquake | Juan de Fuca Ridge | 83.4% | M4.59 Off Coast of Oregon | C | 0.4d early | 327km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-21 | Earthquake | Italy (Apennines-Sicily) | 85.0% | M2.9 Costa Siciliana nord-orientale (Messina) | C | 0.0d early | 93km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-21 | Geyser Eruption | Yellowstone | 73.3% | Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 88.8 min) | B | 0.1d early | 0km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-21 | Geyser Eruption | Yellowstone | 55.0% | Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 2.8 min) | B | 0.0d early | 0km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-21 | Geyser Eruption | Yellowstone | 73.3% | Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 72.8 min) | B | 0.0d early | 0km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-21 | Geyser Eruption | Yellowstone | 63.8% | Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 6.6 min) | B | 0.0d early | 0km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-21 | Earthquake | Aftershock Zone M5.6 -29.5 -177.0 | 73.4% | M4.8 Kermadec Islands region | A | 1.1d early | 15km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-21 | Geyser Eruption | Yellowstone | 55.0% | Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 4.8 min) | B | 0.0d early | 0km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-21 | Geyser Eruption | Yellowstone | 55.0% | Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 69.8 min) | B | 0.0d early | 0km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-21 | Earthquake | Kermadec Arc (Pacific-Australian subduction) | 85.0% | M4.9 Kermadec Islands, New Zealand | A | 1.2d early | 89km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-21 | Earthquake | Alpine Fault (South Island NZ) | 49.1% | M4.5 45 km north of Te Anau | C | 0.2d early | 132km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-21 | Earthquake | Afghanistan-Pakistan (Hindu Kush) | 85.0% | M4.46 Hindu Kush Region, Afghanistan | B | 0.7d early | 121km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-21 | Earthquake | Alaska-Aleutian Arc | 85.0% | M2.9 61 km WSW of Karluk, Alaska | B | 0.7d early | 255km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-21 | Earthquake | Chile/Peru Subduction Zone | 85.0% | M4.94 Near Coast of Northern Chile | A | 1.2d early | 86km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-21 | Geyser Eruption | Yellowstone | 63.8% | Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 9.8 min) | B | 0.0d early | 0km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-21 | Earthquake | Fiji / Lau Basin deep zone | 58.9% | M4.8 Kermadec Islands region | C | 1.7d early | 660km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-21 | Earthquake | Cascadia Subduction Zone | 49.1% | M3.0 189 km W of Bandon, Oregon | B | 1.1d early | 209km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-21 | Geyser Eruption | Yellowstone | 73.3% | Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 68.8 min) | B | 0.0d early | 0km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-21 | Earthquake | Central America (Guatemala-Panama) | 85.0% | M5.1 NICARAGUA | C | 0.3d early | 265km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-20 | Earthquake | Kuril-Kamchatka Arc | 85.0% | M5.0 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA | D | 0.2d early | 336km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-20 | Earthquake | Caribbean (Puerto Rico Trench) | 83.4% | M3.56 108 km N of Charlotte Amalie, U.S. Virgin Islands | B | 0.1d early | 92km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-20 | Geyser Eruption | Yellowstone | 73.3% | Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 91.9 min) | B | 0.1d early | 0km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-20 | Geyser Eruption | Yellowstone | 55.0% | Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 6.8 min) | B | 0.0d early | 0km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-20 | Earthquake | Philippines | 85.0% | M4.6 18 km SSE of Talisay, Philippines | B | 0.7d early | 93km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-20 | Earthquake | Vanuatu Arc (New Hebrides + S Loyalty / Matthew-Hunter) | 85.0% | M4.8 41 km SE of Port-Vila, Vanuatu | B | 1.1d early | 146km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-20 | Geyser Eruption | Yellowstone | 55.0% | Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 63.7 min) | B | 0.0d early | 0km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-20 | Earthquake | Tonga-Kermadec Subduction Zone | 85.0% | M5.0 TONGA | B | 0.0d early | 8km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-20 | Earthquake | New Zealand | 68.7% | M3.1 45 km north of Te Anau | D | 0.1d early | 645km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-20 | Earthquake | Peru Andes / Sub-Andean Foreland | 68.7% | M4.8 Near Coast of Northern Peru | C | 1.0d early | 540km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-20 | Earthquake | Mid-Atlantic Ridge (Central + North Atlantic) | 68.7% | M5.47 Northern Mid-Atlantic Ridge | F | 0.1d early | 3344km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-20 | Earthquake | China (Sichuan-Yunnan) | 49.1% | M4.9 78 km NE of Simao, China | C | 0.7d early | 528km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-20 | Earthquake | Ukraine (Carpathians-Crimea-Vrancea) | 49.1% | M2.8 ROMANIA | D | 0.2d early | 509km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-20 | Earthquake | Samoa-Tonga Outer Rise | 85.0% | M5.0 141 km SSW of Gataivai, Samoa | C | 0.2d early | 146km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-20 | Earthquake | Andaman-Nicobar + N Sumatra Trench | 49.1% | M4.54 Andaman Islands, India Region | C | 0.0d early | 203km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-20 | Earthquake | Mariana Trench | 83.4% | M4.98 Mariana Islands Region | D | 0.0d early | 314km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-20 | Earthquake | Azores (Mid-Atlantic Ridge) | 49.1% | M4.71 Azores Islands, Portugal | B | 1.0d early | 237km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-20 | Earthquake | Papua New Guinea - Solomon Islands | 85.0% | M4.96 Papua New Guinea Region | B | 1.7d early | 297km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-20 | Earthquake | Indonesia (Sunda Arc) | 85.0% | M4.73 Sumba Region, Indonesia | D | 0.5d early | 743km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-20 | Earthquake | Swarm 18.0 -66.9 | 53.0% | M3.03 40 km S of Pole Ojea, Puerto Rico | A | 1.8d early | 47km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-20 | Earthquake | Juan de Fuca Ridge | 49.1% | M4.56 Off Coast of Oregon | C | 1.1d early | 306km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-20 | Earthquake | East Africa Rift | 49.1% | M4.57 Ethiopia | D | 0.4d early | 1273km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-20 | Earthquake | Hawaii Big Island (deep tectonic, >=15 km) | 49.1% | M2.81 3 km S of Pāhala, Hawaii | B | 0.5d early | 49km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-20 | Geyser Eruption | Yellowstone | 68.3% | Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 103.8 min) | B | 0.1d early | 0km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-20 | Geyser Eruption | Yellowstone | 55.0% | Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 90.1 min) | B | 0.1d early | 0km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-20 | Earthquake | Kermadec Arc (Pacific-Australian subduction) | 85.0% | M4.9 Kermadec Islands, New Zealand | A | 2.2d early | 89km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-20 | Earthquake | Alpine Fault (South Island NZ) | 46.2% | M4.5 45 km north of Te Anau | B | 1.2d early | 132km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-20 | Earthquake | Afghanistan-Pakistan (Hindu Kush) | 85.0% | M4.46 Hindu Kush Region, Afghanistan | B | 1.7d early | 121km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-20 | Earthquake | Vanuatu Arc (New Hebrides + S Loyalty / Matthew-Hunter) | 94.2% | M4.4 71 km N of Isangel, Vanuatu | B | 1.5d early | 122km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-20 | Earthquake | Mexico Pacific Coast (Guerrero-Oaxaca) | 98.2% | M4.3 OFF COAST OF CHIAPAS, MEXICO | D | 0.0d early | 673km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-20 | Earthquake | Mexico Pacific Coast (Guerrero-Oaxaca) | 49.1% | M4.4 103 km WSW of Puerto Madero, Mexico | C | 1.5d early | 674km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-20 | Earthquake | Chile/Peru Subduction Zone | 85.0% | M4.94 Near Coast of Northern Chile | A | 2.3d early | 86km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-20 | Geyser Eruption | Yellowstone | 68.3% | Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 95.8 min) | B | 0.1d early | 0km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-20 | Earthquake | Swarm 51.9 176.2 | 85.0% | M2.8 233 km ESE of Attu Station, Alaska | B | 0.1d early | 6km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-20 | Earthquake | Central America (Guatemala-Panama) | 85.0% | M5.1 NICARAGUA | B | 1.3d early | 265km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-19 | Geyser Eruption | Yellowstone | 73.3% | Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 95.1 min) | B | 0.1d early | 0km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-19 | Earthquake | Kuril-Kamchatka Arc | 85.0% | M4.75 Near East Coast of Kamchatka | C | 0.0d early | 246km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-19 | Earthquake | Caribbean (Puerto Rico Trench) | 49.1% | M3.33 70 km NE of Cruz Bay, U.S. Virgin Islands | B | 0.4d early | 75km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-19 | Geyser Eruption | Yellowstone | 68.3% | Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 90.7 min) | B | 0.1d early | 0km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-19 | Earthquake | Vanuatu Arc (New Hebrides + S Loyalty / Matthew-Hunter) | 85.0% | M4.8 41 km SE of Port-Vila, Vanuatu | B | 2.1d early | 146km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-19 | Earthquake | Philippines | 85.0% | M4.6 18 km SSE of Talisay, Philippines | A | 1.7d early | 93km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-19 | Earthquake | Tonga-Kermadec Subduction Zone | 85.0% | M5.0 TONGA | A | 1.1d early | 8km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-19 | Earthquake | New Zealand | 68.7% | M3.2 SOUTH ISLAND OF NEW ZEALAND | D | 0.1d early | 572km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-19 | Geyser Eruption | Yellowstone | 73.3% | Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 67.6 min) | B | 0.0d early | 0km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-19 | Earthquake | Aftershock Zone M5.5 14.2 -92.9 | 72.6% | M4.5 70 km SW of Puerto Madero, Mexico | A | 0.7d early | 11km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-19 | Earthquake | Bonin (Ogasawara) Islands | 85.0% | M4.4 Bonin Islands, Japan region | D | 1.0d early | 14909km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-19 | Earthquake | Tien Shan / Northwest China + Western Tien Shan (S. Kazakhstan) | 85.0% | M4.1 40 km NW of Naryn, Kyrgyzstan | F | 0.1d early | 8825km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-19 | Earthquake | Peru Andes / Sub-Andean Foreland | 85.0% | M4.8 Near Coast of Northern Peru | D | 2.0d early | 8874km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-19 | Earthquake | Mid-Atlantic Ridge (Central + North Atlantic) | 85.0% | M5.47 Northern Mid-Atlantic Ridge | D | 1.1d early | 5211km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-19 | Earthquake | Fiji / Lau Basin deep zone | 85.0% | M3.8 660 km north-east of Whangarei | C | 2.5d early | 16507km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-19 | Earthquake | Colombia-Ecuador Subduction | 85.0% | M4.0 PANAMA-COLOMBIA BORDER REGION | D | 0.6d early | 8680km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-19 | Earthquake | Iran (Zagros-Alborz) | 85.0% | M4.99 Western Iran | D | 0.4d early | 6150km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-19 | Earthquake | Japan (Honshu-Hokkaido) | 85.0% | M4.0 117 km NE of Esashi, Japan | D | 1.2d early | 13831km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-19 | Earthquake | Luzon Strait / S Taiwan (Batanes) | 85.0% | M4.0 BABUYAN ISL REGION, PHILIPPINES | D | 0.7d early | 13318km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-19 | Earthquake | Andaman-Nicobar + N Sumatra Trench | 85.0% | M4.4 39 km ENE of Port Blair, India | D | 1.1d early | 10344km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-19 | Earthquake | Italy (Apennines-Sicily) | 85.0% | M2.9 Costa Siciliana nord-orientale (Messina) | A | 2.0d early | 98km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-19 | Earthquake | Ukraine (Carpathians-Crimea-Vrancea) | 85.0% | M2.8 ROMANIA | A | 1.2d early | 93km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-19 | Earthquake | Samoa-Tonga Outer Rise | 85.0% | M5.0 141 km SSW of Gataivai, Samoa | B | 1.2d early | 146km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-19 | Earthquake | Bear Lake (Idaho-Utah border) | 49.1% | M3.02 5 km W of Bennington, Idaho | A | 2.5d early | 15km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-19 | Earthquake | China (Sichuan-Yunnan) | 68.7% | M4.9 78 km NE of Simao, China | C | 1.7d early | 528km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-19 | Earthquake | Mariana Trench | 68.7% | M4.98 Mariana Islands Region | C | 1.0d early | 314km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-19 | Earthquake | Venezuela (El Pilar-Bocono-San Sebastian) | 68.7% | M4.91 Near Coast of Venezuela | C | 0.7d early | 531km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-19 | Earthquake | Caribbean (Haiti-Puerto Rico-Lesser Antilles) | 49.1% | M3.7 HAITI REGION | C | 0.3d early | 441km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-19 | Geyser Eruption | Yellowstone | 78.3% | Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 95.4 min) | B | 0.1d early | 0km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-19 | Earthquake | Hawaii Big Island (deep tectonic, >=15 km) | 83.4% | M2.8 19 km ESE of Honaunau-Napoopoo, Hawaii | B | 0.1d early | 36km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-19 | Earthquake | Swarm 18.0 -66.9 | 58.9% | M3.02 2 km S of Guánica, Puerto Rico | A | 1.0d early | 2km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-19 | Earthquake | Alaska-Aleutian Arc | 78.2% | M2.9 61 km WSW of Karluk, Alaska | B | 2.3d early | 255km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-19 | Earthquake | Sumatra (Mentawai Gap) | 49.1% | M3.9 SOUTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA | C | 0.4d early | 413km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-19 | Geyser Eruption | Yellowstone | 55.0% | Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 85.7 min) | B | 0.1d early | 0km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-19 | Geyser Eruption | Yellowstone | 63.8% | Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 28.7 min) | B | 0.0d early | 0km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-19 | Earthquake | East Africa Rift | 45.5% | M4.57 Ethiopia | D | 1.6d early | 1273km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-19 | Geyser Eruption | Yellowstone | 55.0% | Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 32.6 min) | B | 0.0d early | 0km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-19 | Earthquake | Swarm 18.9 -65.3 | 81.5% | M3.2 72 km NNE of Vieques, Puerto Rico | B | 0.1d early | 26km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-19 | Earthquake | Kermadec Arc (Pacific-Australian subduction) | 85.0% | M4.9 Kermadec Islands, New Zealand | A | 3.2d early | 89km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-19 | Earthquake | Drake Passage / Shackleton Fracture Zone | 49.1% | M4.8 281 km SSE of Ushuaia, Argentina | B | 2.3d early | 319km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-19 | Earthquake | Southern California (UCERF3) | 85.0% | M3.06375300283763 10 km ENE of Coso Junction, CA | B | 1.1d early | 166km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-19 | Earthquake | Afghanistan-Pakistan (Hindu Kush) | 85.0% | M4.5 77 km NNW of Pārūn, Afghanistan | B | 0.7d early | 115km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-19 | Earthquake | Papua New Guinea - Solomon Islands | 85.0% | M4.96 Papua New Guinea Region | B | 3.2d early | 297km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-19 | Geyser Eruption | Yellowstone | 55.0% | Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 32.7 min) | B | 0.0d early | 0km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-19 | Earthquake | Alaska-Aleutian Arc | 98.2% | M2.6 83 km SE of Ugashik, Alaska | B | 1.8d early | 204km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-19 | Earthquake | Indonesia (Sunda Arc) | 85.0% | M4.4 156 km WNW of Gorontalo, Indonesia | C | 1.4d early | 568km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-19 | Earthquake | Juan de Fuca Ridge | 83.4% | M4.56 Off Coast of Oregon | B | 2.6d early | 306km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-19 | Earthquake | Mexico Pacific Coast (Guerrero-Oaxaca) | 83.4% | M4.4 103 km WSW of Puerto Madero, Mexico | C | 2.5d early | 674km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-19 | Earthquake | Chile/Peru Subduction Zone | 85.0% | M4.94 Near Coast of Northern Chile | A | 3.3d early | 86km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-19 | Earthquake | Western Aleutians / Near Islands (dateline crossing) | 83.4% | M4.1 235 km ESE of Attu Station, Alaska | B | 0.8d early | 147km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-19 | Geyser Eruption | Yellowstone | 55.0% | Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 3.8 min) | B | 0.0d early | 0km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-19 | Earthquake | Cascadia Subduction Zone | 49.1% | M3.0 189 km W of Bandon, Oregon | B | 3.1d early | 209km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-19 | Earthquake | Swarm 51.9 176.2 | 85.0% | M2.8 233 km ESE of Attu Station, Alaska | A | 1.1d early | 6km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-19 | Earthquake | Central America (Guatemala-Panama) | 85.0% | M5.1 NICARAGUA | B | 2.3d early | 265km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-19 | Earthquake | Izu-Bonin / Ogasawara Arc | 45.6% | M4.4 Bonin Islands, Japan region | B | 1.8d early | 206km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-18 | Earthquake | Kuril-Kamchatka Arc | 85.0% | M4.75 Near East Coast of Kamchatka | B | 1.0d early | 246km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-18 | Geyser Eruption | Yellowstone | 73.3% | Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 62.7 min) | B | 0.0d early | 0km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-18 | Geyser Eruption | Yellowstone | 55.0% | Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 67.7 min) | B | 0.0d early | 0km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-18 | Earthquake | Alpine Fault (South Island NZ) | 49.1% | M4.9 45 km north of Te Anau | B | 0.6d early | 132km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-18 | Earthquake | Caribbean (Puerto Rico Trench) | 83.4% | M3.1 ANEGADA, BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS | B | 0.3d early | 72km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-18 | Earthquake | Swarm 52.0 176.2 | 85.0% | M3.1 230 km ESE of Attu Station, Alaska | A | 1.1d early | 8km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-18 | Earthquake | Vanuatu Arc (New Hebrides + S Loyalty / Matthew-Hunter) | 85.0% | M4.8 41 km SE of Port-Vila, Vanuatu | A | 3.1d early | 146km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-18 | Earthquake | Philippines | 85.0% | M4.6 18 km SSE of Talisay, Philippines | A | 2.7d early | 93km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-18 | Earthquake | Tonga-Kermadec Subduction Zone | 85.0% | M5.13 Tonga Islands | A | 2.1d early | 36km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-18 | Earthquake | New Zealand | 83.4% | M3.2 40 km north of Te Anau | D | 0.2d early | 578km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-18 | Earthquake | Swarm 18.9 -65.2 | 72.6% | M2.93 76 km NNW of Charlotte Amalie, U.S. Virgin Islands | B | 0.2d early | 19km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-18 | Earthquake | Pakistan (Balochistan-Makran) | 49.1% | M4.5 PAKISTAN | D | 0.0d early | 324km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-18 | Earthquake | Samoa-Tonga Outer Rise | 85.0% | M5.0 141 km SSW of Gataivai, Samoa | B | 2.2d early | 146km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-18 | Earthquake | Andaman-Nicobar + N Sumatra Trench | 49.1% | M4.54 Andaman Islands, India Region | B | 2.1d early | 203km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-18 | Earthquake | Tien Shan / Northwest China + Western Tien Shan (S. Kazakhstan) | 68.7% | M4.51 Kyrgyzstan | C | 1.1d early | 307km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-18 | Earthquake | Peru Andes / Sub-Andean Foreland | 68.7% | M5.5 CENTRAL PERU | C | 0.3d early | 489km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-18 | Earthquake | Mid-Atlantic Ridge (Central + North Atlantic) | 68.7% | M5.47 Northern Mid-Atlantic Ridge | C | 2.1d early | 3344km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-18 | Earthquake | Ukraine (Carpathians-Crimea-Vrancea) | 49.1% | M3.2 ROMANIA | C | 0.9d early | 500km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-18 | Earthquake | Iran (Zagros-Alborz) | 49.1% | M4.9 40 km ENE of Shahrak-e Kūlūrī, Iran | C | 0.3d early | 437km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-18 | Geyser Eruption | Yellowstone | 55.0% | Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 2.3 min) | B | 0.0d early | 0km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-18 | Earthquake | Aftershock Zone M5.7 14.2 -92.9 | 74.2% | M5.05 Near Coast of Chiapas, Mexico | A | 0.3d early | 4km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-18 | Geyser Eruption | Yellowstone | 63.8% | Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 12.7 min) | B | 0.0d early | 0km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-18 | Earthquake | Tibetan Plateau / Pamir | 85.0% | M4.5 46 km NE of Tulsīpur, Nepal | D | 0.7d early | 9285km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-18 | Earthquake | Venezuela (El Pilar-Bocono-San Sebastian) | 85.0% | M5.44 Windward Islands | D | 1.7d early | 6819km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-18 | Earthquake | Caribbean (Haiti-Puerto Rico-Lesser Antilles) | 79.3% | M5.44 Windward Islands | D | 1.7d early | 6819km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-18 | Earthquake | Bay Area / Hayward-Calaveras | 71.4% | M2.5 12 km ENE of San Martin, CA | D | 0.2d early | 12744km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-18 | Earthquake | 72 Km Sw Of Puerto Madero, Mexico | 85.0% | M5.05 Near Coast of Chiapas, Mexico | A | 0.3d early | 4km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-18 | Geyser | Yellowstone Great Fountain | 85.0% | Fountain Geyser eruption (lead: 188 min) | B | 0.1d early | 0km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-18 | Earthquake | Walker Lane / Western Nevada | 49.1% | M2.72 18 km SE of Silver Springs, Nevada | A | 2.3d early | 8km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-18 | Solar Flare | Global | 60.0% | M4.0 Solar flare C1.5 class | A | 0.3d early | 0km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-18 | Earthquake | Sumatra (Mentawai Gap) | 83.4% | M3.9 SOUTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA | C | 1.4d early | 413km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-18 | Earthquake | Italy (Apennines-Sicily) | 49.1% | M2.6 CROATIA | C | 1.6d early | 584km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-18 | Geyser Eruption | Yellowstone | 55.0% | Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 30.9 min) | B | 0.0d early | 0km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-18 | Earthquake | Kermadec Arc (Pacific-Australian subduction) | 85.0% | M4.9 Kermadec Islands, New Zealand | A | 4.2d early | 89km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-18 | Geyser Eruption | Yellowstone | 55.0% | Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 31.9 min) | B | 0.0d early | 0km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-18 | Earthquake | Azores (Mid-Atlantic Ridge) | 49.1% | M4.71 Azores Islands, Portugal | B | 3.4d early | 237km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-18 | Earthquake | Afghanistan-Pakistan (Hindu Kush) | 85.0% | M4.5 77 km NNW of Pārūn, Afghanistan | B | 1.7d early | 115km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-18 | Earthquake | South Sandwich Islands | 85.0% | M4.8 South Sandwich Islands region | C | 0.5d early | 290km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-18 | Earthquake | Papua New Guinea - Solomon Islands | 85.0% | M4.96 Papua New Guinea Region | B | 4.2d early | 297km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-18 | Earthquake | Alaska-Aleutian Arc | 85.0% | M2.8 80 km E of Chignik, Alaska | B | 0.9d early | 221km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-18 | Earthquake | Hawaii Big Island (shallow volcanic, <15 km) | 49.1% | M2.8 19 km ESE of Honaunau-Napoopoo, Hawaii | A | 1.6d early | 36km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-18 | Earthquake | Vanuatu Arc (New Hebrides + S Loyalty / Matthew-Hunter) | 94.2% | M4.4 71 km N of Isangel, Vanuatu | A | 3.5d early | 122km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-18 | Earthquake | Mexico Pacific Coast (Guerrero-Oaxaca) | 98.2% | M4.4 10 km E of El Bajío, Mexico | C | 0.4d early | 432km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-18 | Earthquake | Indonesia (Sunda Arc) | 85.0% | M4.4 156 km WNW of Gorontalo, Indonesia | C | 2.4d early | 568km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-18 | Solar Flare | Global | 60.0% | Solar flare B9.0 class | B | 0.0d early | 0km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-18 | Earthquake | Swarm 18.0 -66.9 | 61.8% | M3.02 2 km S of Guánica, Puerto Rico | A | 2.6d early | 2km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-18 | Geyser Eruption | Yellowstone | 55.0% | Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 6.8 min) | B | 0.0d early | 0km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-18 | Earthquake | Chile/Peru Subduction Zone | 85.0% | M4.94 Near Coast of Northern Chile | A | 4.3d early | 86km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-18 | Earthquake | Cascadia Subduction Zone | 83.4% | M3.0 189 km W of Bandon, Oregon | B | 4.2d early | 209km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-18 | Geyser Eruption | Yellowstone | 55.0% | Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 61.8 min) | B | 0.0d early | 0km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-18 | Earthquake | Southern California (UCERF3) | 49.1% | M3.06375300283763 10 km ENE of Coso Junction, CA | B | 2.4d early | 166km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-17 | Geyser Eruption | Yellowstone | 55.0% | Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 41.6 min) | B | 0.0d early | 0km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-17 | Earthquake | Juan de Fuca Ridge | 49.1% | M4.56 Off Coast of Oregon | B | 3.8d early | 306km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-17 | Earthquake | Kuril-Kamchatka Arc | 85.0% | M4.75 Near East Coast of Kamchatka | B | 2.0d early | 246km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-17 | Earthquake | Central America (Guatemala-Panama) | 85.0% | M4.72 Near Coast of Nicaragua | B | 1.0d early | 283km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-17 | Earthquake | Trans-Mexican Volcanic Belt | 49.1% | M4.2 MICHOACAN, MEXICO | C | 0.0d early | 270km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-17 | Geyser Eruption | Yellowstone | 55.0% | Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 57.3 min) | B | 0.0d early | 0km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-17 | Earthquake | Oklahoma (Induced) | 49.1% | M2.67 6 km S of Amber, Oklahoma | A | 1.9d early | 73km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-17 | Geyser Eruption | Yellowstone | 55.0% | old_faithful tremor anomaly (power_db=16.8, z=5.6) | B | 0.0d early | 0km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-17 | Earthquake | Caribbean (Puerto Rico Trench) | 49.1% | M3.21 66 km N of Culebra, Puerto Rico | B | 0.2d early | 60km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-17 | Earthquake | Swarm 52.0 176.2 | 85.0% | M3.4 231 km ESE of Attu Station, Alaska | B | 0.2d early | 4km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-17 | Earthquake | Vanuatu Arc (New Hebrides + S Loyalty / Matthew-Hunter) | 82.9% | M4.8 41 km SE of Port-Vila, Vanuatu | A | 4.1d early | 146km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-17 | Earthquake | Philippines | 85.0% | M4.6 18 km SSE of Talisay, Philippines | A | 3.8d early | 93km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-17 | Geyser Eruption | Yellowstone | 55.0% | old_faithful tremor anomaly (power_db=16.9, z=5.6) | B | 0.0d early | 0km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-17 | Earthquake | Mexico Pacific Coast (Guerrero-Oaxaca) | 49.1% | M4.4 10 km E of El Bajío, Mexico | C | 0.8d early | 432km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-17 | Earthquake | Tonga-Kermadec Subduction Zone | 85.0% | M5.13 Tonga Islands | A | 3.1d early | 36km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-17 | Geyser Eruption | Yellowstone | 55.0% | Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 3.5 min) | B | 0.0d early | 0km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-17 | Earthquake | East Africa Rift | 49.1% | M4.57 Ethiopia | C | 3.4d early | 1273km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-17 | Earthquake | New Zealand | 68.7% | M4.4 42 km NNW of Te Anau, New Zealand | C | 1.8d early | 580km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-17 | Earthquake | Bear Lake (Idaho-Utah border) | 49.1% | M3.02 5 km W of Bennington, Idaho | A | 4.5d early | 15km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-17 | Earthquake | Swarm 18.9 -65.2 | 61.8% | M2.93 76 km NNW of Charlotte Amalie, U.S. Virgin Islands | A | 1.3d early | 16km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-17 | Earthquake | China (Sichuan-Yunnan) | 68.7% | M4.9 78 km NE of Simao, China | C | 3.7d early | 528km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-17 | Earthquake | Mariana Trench | 68.7% | M4.98 Mariana Islands Region | B | 3.0d early | 314km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-17 | Earthquake | Greece-Aegean-Western Turkey | 68.7% | M4.3 25 km N of Gázi, Greece | B | 0.6d early | 276km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-17 | Earthquake | Bonin (Ogasawara) Islands | 85.0% | M4.4 Bonin Islands, Japan region | C | 3.0d early | 14909km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-17 | Earthquake | Tien Shan / Northwest China + Western Tien Shan (S. Kazakhstan) | 85.0% | M4.61 Southern Xinjiang, China | D | 0.5d early | 8723km | verify | Replay | |
| 2026-07-17 | Earthquake | Peru Andes / Sub-Andean Foreland | 85.0% | M5.5 CENTRAL PERU | D | 1.4d early | 8416km | verify | Replay |
Geyser Eruption
B
2026-07-22
Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 89.3 min)
region: Yellowstone
caught 0.1 days early
Confirmed: M0.0 Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 89.3 min)
Geyser Eruption
B
2026-07-22
Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 97.7 min)
region: Yellowstone
caught 0.1 days early
Confirmed: M0.0 Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 97.7 min)
Geyser Eruption
B
2026-07-22
Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 91.8 min)
region: Yellowstone
caught 0.1 days early
Confirmed: M0.0 Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 91.8 min)
Earthquake
B
2026-07-22
M4.9 KERMADEC ISLANDS, NEW ZEALAND
region: Kermadec Arc (Pacific-Australian subduction)
caught 0.1 days early
Confirmed: M4.9 KERMADEC ISLANDS, NEW ZEALAND
Geyser Eruption
B
2026-07-22
Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 78.7 min)
region: Yellowstone
caught 0.1 days early
Confirmed: M0.0 Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 78.7 min)
Earthquake
D
2026-07-22
M4.6 103 km S of San Pedro de Atacama, Chile
region: Chile/Peru Subduction Zone
caught 0.0 days early
Confirmed: M4.6 103 km S of San Pedro de Atacama, Chile
Geyser Eruption
B
2026-07-22
Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 96.8 min)
region: Yellowstone
caught 0.1 days early
Confirmed: M0.0 Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 96.8 min)
Earthquake
C
2026-07-22
M5.13 Kodiak Island Region, Alaska
region: Alaska-Aleutian Arc
caught 0.5 days early
Confirmed: M5.13 Kodiak Island Region, Alaska
Earthquake
D
2026-07-22
M4.38 Near Coast of Chiapas, Mexico
region: Mexico Pacific Coast (Guerrero-Oaxaca)
caught 0.2 days early
Confirmed: M4.38 Near Coast of Chiapas, Mexico
Geyser Eruption
B
2026-07-22
Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 13.8 min)
region: Yellowstone
caught 0.0 days early
Confirmed: M0.0 Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 13.8 min)
Geyser Eruption
B
2026-07-21
Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 64.8 min)
region: Yellowstone
caught 0.0 days early
Confirmed: M0.0 Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 64.8 min)
Earthquake
D
2026-07-21
M3.1 75 km north-east of Tauranga
region: New Zealand
caught 0.2 days early
Confirmed: M3.1 75 km north-east of Tauranga
Geyser Eruption
B
2026-07-21
Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 12.7 min)
region: Yellowstone
caught 0.0 days early
Confirmed: M0.0 Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 12.7 min)
Geyser Eruption
B
2026-07-21
Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 36.8 min)
region: Yellowstone
caught 0.0 days early
Confirmed: M0.0 Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 36.8 min)
Earthquake
C
2026-07-21
M4.59 Off Coast of Oregon
region: Juan de Fuca Ridge
caught 0.4 days early
Confirmed: M4.59 Off Coast of Oregon
Earthquake
C
2026-07-21
M2.9 Costa Siciliana nord-orientale (Messina)
region: Italy (Apennines-Sicily)
caught 0.0 days early
Confirmed: M2.9 Costa Siciliana nord-orientale (Messina)
Geyser Eruption
B
2026-07-21
Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 88.8 min)
region: Yellowstone
caught 0.1 days early
Confirmed: M0.0 Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 88.8 min)
Geyser Eruption
B
2026-07-21
Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 2.8 min)
region: Yellowstone
caught 0.0 days early
Confirmed: M0.0 Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 2.8 min)
Geyser Eruption
B
2026-07-21
Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 72.8 min)
region: Yellowstone
caught 0.0 days early
Confirmed: M0.0 Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 72.8 min)
Geyser Eruption
B
2026-07-21
Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 6.6 min)
region: Yellowstone
caught 0.0 days early
Confirmed: M0.0 Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 6.6 min)
Earthquake
A
2026-07-21
M4.8 Kermadec Islands region
region: Aftershock Zone M5.6 -29.5 -177.0
caught 1.1 days early
Confirmed: M4.8 Kermadec Islands region
Geyser Eruption
B
2026-07-21
Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 4.8 min)
region: Yellowstone
caught 0.0 days early
Confirmed: M0.0 Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 4.8 min)
Geyser Eruption
B
2026-07-21
Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 69.8 min)
region: Yellowstone
caught 0.0 days early
Confirmed: M0.0 Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 69.8 min)
Earthquake
A
2026-07-21
M4.9 Kermadec Islands, New Zealand
region: Kermadec Arc (Pacific-Australian subduction)
caught 1.2 days early
Confirmed: M4.9 Kermadec Islands, New Zealand
Earthquake
C
2026-07-21
M4.5 45 km north of Te Anau
region: Alpine Fault (South Island NZ)
caught 0.2 days early
Confirmed: M4.5 45 km north of Te Anau
Earthquake
B
2026-07-21
M4.46 Hindu Kush Region, Afghanistan
region: Afghanistan-Pakistan (Hindu Kush)
caught 0.7 days early
Confirmed: M4.46 Hindu Kush Region, Afghanistan
Earthquake
B
2026-07-21
M2.9 61 km WSW of Karluk, Alaska
region: Alaska-Aleutian Arc
caught 0.7 days early
Confirmed: M2.9 61 km WSW of Karluk, Alaska
Earthquake
A
2026-07-21
M4.94 Near Coast of Northern Chile
region: Chile/Peru Subduction Zone
caught 1.2 days early
Confirmed: M4.94 Near Coast of Northern Chile
Geyser Eruption
B
2026-07-21
Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 9.8 min)
region: Yellowstone
caught 0.0 days early
Confirmed: M0.0 Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 9.8 min)
Earthquake
C
2026-07-21
M4.8 Kermadec Islands region
region: Fiji / Lau Basin deep zone
caught 1.7 days early
Confirmed: M4.8 Kermadec Islands region
Earthquake
B
2026-07-21
M3.0 189 km W of Bandon, Oregon
region: Cascadia Subduction Zone
caught 1.1 days early
Confirmed: M3.0 189 km W of Bandon, Oregon
Geyser Eruption
B
2026-07-21
Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 68.8 min)
region: Yellowstone
caught 0.0 days early
Confirmed: M0.0 Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 68.8 min)
Earthquake
C
2026-07-21
M5.1 NICARAGUA
region: Central America (Guatemala-Panama)
caught 0.3 days early
Confirmed: M5.1 NICARAGUA
Earthquake
D
2026-07-20
M5.0 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA
region: Kuril-Kamchatka Arc
caught 0.2 days early
Confirmed: M5.0 OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA
Earthquake
B
2026-07-20
M3.56 108 km N of Charlotte Amalie, U.S. Virgin Islands
region: Caribbean (Puerto Rico Trench)
caught 0.1 days early
Confirmed: M3.56 108 km N of Charlotte Amalie, U.S. Virgin Islands
Geyser Eruption
B
2026-07-20
Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 91.9 min)
region: Yellowstone
caught 0.1 days early
Confirmed: M0.0 Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 91.9 min)
Geyser Eruption
B
2026-07-20
Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 6.8 min)
region: Yellowstone
caught 0.0 days early
Confirmed: M0.0 Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 6.8 min)
Earthquake
B
2026-07-20
M4.6 18 km SSE of Talisay, Philippines
region: Philippines
caught 0.7 days early
Confirmed: M4.6 18 km SSE of Talisay, Philippines
Earthquake
B
2026-07-20
M4.8 41 km SE of Port-Vila, Vanuatu
region: Vanuatu Arc (New Hebrides + S Loyalty / Matthew-Hunter)
caught 1.1 days early
Confirmed: M4.8 41 km SE of Port-Vila, Vanuatu
Geyser Eruption
B
2026-07-20
Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 63.7 min)
region: Yellowstone
caught 0.0 days early
Confirmed: M0.0 Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 63.7 min)
Earthquake
B
2026-07-20
M5.0 TONGA
region: Tonga-Kermadec Subduction Zone
caught 0.0 days early
Confirmed: M5.0 TONGA
Earthquake
D
2026-07-20
M3.1 45 km north of Te Anau
region: New Zealand
caught 0.1 days early
Confirmed: M3.1 45 km north of Te Anau
Earthquake
C
2026-07-20
M4.8 Near Coast of Northern Peru
region: Peru Andes / Sub-Andean Foreland
caught 1.0 days early
Confirmed: M4.8 Near Coast of Northern Peru
Earthquake
F
2026-07-20
M5.47 Northern Mid-Atlantic Ridge
region: Mid-Atlantic Ridge (Central + North Atlantic)
caught 0.1 days early
Confirmed: M5.47 Northern Mid-Atlantic Ridge
Earthquake
C
2026-07-20
M4.9 78 km NE of Simao, China
region: China (Sichuan-Yunnan)
caught 0.7 days early
Confirmed: M4.9 78 km NE of Simao, China
Earthquake
D
2026-07-20
M2.8 ROMANIA
region: Ukraine (Carpathians-Crimea-Vrancea)
caught 0.2 days early
Confirmed: M2.8 ROMANIA
Earthquake
C
2026-07-20
M5.0 141 km SSW of Gataivai, Samoa
region: Samoa-Tonga Outer Rise
caught 0.2 days early
Confirmed: M5.0 141 km SSW of Gataivai, Samoa
Earthquake
C
2026-07-20
M4.54 Andaman Islands, India Region
region: Andaman-Nicobar + N Sumatra Trench
caught 0.0 days early
Confirmed: M4.54 Andaman Islands, India Region
Earthquake
D
2026-07-20
M4.98 Mariana Islands Region
region: Mariana Trench
caught 0.0 days early
Confirmed: M4.98 Mariana Islands Region
Earthquake
B
2026-07-20
M4.71 Azores Islands, Portugal
region: Azores (Mid-Atlantic Ridge)
caught 1.0 days early
Confirmed: M4.71 Azores Islands, Portugal
Earthquake
B
2026-07-20
M4.96 Papua New Guinea Region
region: Papua New Guinea - Solomon Islands
caught 1.7 days early
Confirmed: M4.96 Papua New Guinea Region
Earthquake
D
2026-07-20
M4.73 Sumba Region, Indonesia
region: Indonesia (Sunda Arc)
caught 0.5 days early
Confirmed: M4.73 Sumba Region, Indonesia
Earthquake
A
2026-07-20
M3.03 40 km S of Pole Ojea, Puerto Rico
region: Swarm 18.0 -66.9
caught 1.8 days early
Confirmed: M3.03 40 km S of Pole Ojea, Puerto Rico
Earthquake
C
2026-07-20
M4.56 Off Coast of Oregon
region: Juan de Fuca Ridge
caught 1.1 days early
Confirmed: M4.56 Off Coast of Oregon
Earthquake
D
2026-07-20
M4.57 Ethiopia
region: East Africa Rift
caught 0.4 days early
Confirmed: M4.57 Ethiopia
Earthquake
B
2026-07-20
M2.81 3 km S of Pāhala, Hawaii
region: Hawaii Big Island (deep tectonic, >=15 km)
caught 0.5 days early
Confirmed: M2.81 3 km S of Pāhala, Hawaii
Geyser Eruption
B
2026-07-20
Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 103.8 min)
region: Yellowstone
caught 0.1 days early
Confirmed: M0.0 Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 103.8 min)
Geyser Eruption
B
2026-07-20
Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 90.1 min)
region: Yellowstone
caught 0.1 days early
Confirmed: M0.0 Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 90.1 min)
Earthquake
A
2026-07-20
M4.9 Kermadec Islands, New Zealand
region: Kermadec Arc (Pacific-Australian subduction)
caught 2.2 days early
Confirmed: M4.9 Kermadec Islands, New Zealand
Earthquake
B
2026-07-20
M4.5 45 km north of Te Anau
region: Alpine Fault (South Island NZ)
caught 1.2 days early
Confirmed: M4.5 45 km north of Te Anau
Earthquake
B
2026-07-20
M4.46 Hindu Kush Region, Afghanistan
region: Afghanistan-Pakistan (Hindu Kush)
caught 1.7 days early
Confirmed: M4.46 Hindu Kush Region, Afghanistan
Earthquake
B
2026-07-20
M4.4 71 km N of Isangel, Vanuatu
region: Vanuatu Arc (New Hebrides + S Loyalty / Matthew-Hunter)
caught 1.5 days early
Confirmed: M4.4 71 km N of Isangel, Vanuatu
Earthquake
D
2026-07-20
M4.3 OFF COAST OF CHIAPAS, MEXICO
region: Mexico Pacific Coast (Guerrero-Oaxaca)
caught 0.0 days early
Confirmed: M4.3 OFF COAST OF CHIAPAS, MEXICO
Earthquake
C
2026-07-20
M4.4 103 km WSW of Puerto Madero, Mexico
region: Mexico Pacific Coast (Guerrero-Oaxaca)
caught 1.5 days early
Confirmed: M4.4 103 km WSW of Puerto Madero, Mexico
Earthquake
A
2026-07-20
M4.94 Near Coast of Northern Chile
region: Chile/Peru Subduction Zone
caught 2.3 days early
Confirmed: M4.94 Near Coast of Northern Chile
Geyser Eruption
B
2026-07-20
Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 95.8 min)
region: Yellowstone
caught 0.1 days early
Confirmed: M0.0 Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 95.8 min)
Earthquake
B
2026-07-20
M2.8 233 km ESE of Attu Station, Alaska
region: Swarm 51.9 176.2
caught 0.1 days early
Confirmed: M2.8 233 km ESE of Attu Station, Alaska
Earthquake
B
2026-07-20
M5.1 NICARAGUA
region: Central America (Guatemala-Panama)
caught 1.3 days early
Confirmed: M5.1 NICARAGUA
Geyser Eruption
B
2026-07-19
Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 95.1 min)
region: Yellowstone
caught 0.1 days early
Confirmed: M0.0 Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 95.1 min)
Earthquake
C
2026-07-19
M4.75 Near East Coast of Kamchatka
region: Kuril-Kamchatka Arc
caught 0.0 days early
Confirmed: M4.75 Near East Coast of Kamchatka
Earthquake
B
2026-07-19
M3.33 70 km NE of Cruz Bay, U.S. Virgin Islands
region: Caribbean (Puerto Rico Trench)
caught 0.4 days early
Confirmed: M3.33 70 km NE of Cruz Bay, U.S. Virgin Islands
Geyser Eruption
B
2026-07-19
Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 90.7 min)
region: Yellowstone
caught 0.1 days early
Confirmed: M0.0 Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 90.7 min)
Earthquake
B
2026-07-19
M4.8 41 km SE of Port-Vila, Vanuatu
region: Vanuatu Arc (New Hebrides + S Loyalty / Matthew-Hunter)
caught 2.1 days early
Confirmed: M4.8 41 km SE of Port-Vila, Vanuatu
Earthquake
A
2026-07-19
M4.6 18 km SSE of Talisay, Philippines
region: Philippines
caught 1.7 days early
Confirmed: M4.6 18 km SSE of Talisay, Philippines
Earthquake
A
2026-07-19
M5.0 TONGA
region: Tonga-Kermadec Subduction Zone
caught 1.1 days early
Confirmed: M5.0 TONGA
Earthquake
D
2026-07-19
M3.2 SOUTH ISLAND OF NEW ZEALAND
region: New Zealand
caught 0.1 days early
Confirmed: M3.2 SOUTH ISLAND OF NEW ZEALAND
Geyser Eruption
B
2026-07-19
Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 67.6 min)
region: Yellowstone
caught 0.0 days early
Confirmed: M0.0 Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 67.6 min)
Earthquake
A
2026-07-19
M4.5 70 km SW of Puerto Madero, Mexico
region: Aftershock Zone M5.5 14.2 -92.9
caught 0.7 days early
Confirmed: M4.5 70 km SW of Puerto Madero, Mexico
Earthquake
D
2026-07-19
M4.4 Bonin Islands, Japan region
region: Bonin (Ogasawara) Islands
caught 1.0 days early
Confirmed: M4.4 Bonin Islands, Japan region
Earthquake
F
2026-07-19
M4.1 40 km NW of Naryn, Kyrgyzstan
region: Tien Shan / Northwest China + Western Tien Shan (S. Kazakhstan)
caught 0.1 days early
Confirmed: M4.1 40 km NW of Naryn, Kyrgyzstan
Earthquake
D
2026-07-19
M4.8 Near Coast of Northern Peru
region: Peru Andes / Sub-Andean Foreland
caught 2.0 days early
Confirmed: M4.8 Near Coast of Northern Peru
Earthquake
D
2026-07-19
M5.47 Northern Mid-Atlantic Ridge
region: Mid-Atlantic Ridge (Central + North Atlantic)
caught 1.1 days early
Confirmed: M5.47 Northern Mid-Atlantic Ridge
Earthquake
C
2026-07-19
M3.8 660 km north-east of Whangarei
region: Fiji / Lau Basin deep zone
caught 2.5 days early
Confirmed: M3.8 660 km north-east of Whangarei
Earthquake
D
2026-07-19
M4.0 PANAMA-COLOMBIA BORDER REGION
region: Colombia-Ecuador Subduction
caught 0.6 days early
Confirmed: M4.0 PANAMA-COLOMBIA BORDER REGION
Earthquake
D
2026-07-19
M4.99 Western Iran
region: Iran (Zagros-Alborz)
caught 0.4 days early
Confirmed: M4.99 Western Iran
Earthquake
D
2026-07-19
M4.0 117 km NE of Esashi, Japan
region: Japan (Honshu-Hokkaido)
caught 1.2 days early
Confirmed: M4.0 117 km NE of Esashi, Japan
Earthquake
D
2026-07-19
M4.0 BABUYAN ISL REGION, PHILIPPINES
region: Luzon Strait / S Taiwan (Batanes)
caught 0.7 days early
Confirmed: M4.0 BABUYAN ISL REGION, PHILIPPINES
Earthquake
D
2026-07-19
M4.4 39 km ENE of Port Blair, India
region: Andaman-Nicobar + N Sumatra Trench
caught 1.1 days early
Confirmed: M4.4 39 km ENE of Port Blair, India
Earthquake
A
2026-07-19
M2.9 Costa Siciliana nord-orientale (Messina)
region: Italy (Apennines-Sicily)
caught 2.0 days early
Confirmed: M2.9 Costa Siciliana nord-orientale (Messina)
Earthquake
A
2026-07-19
M2.8 ROMANIA
region: Ukraine (Carpathians-Crimea-Vrancea)
caught 1.2 days early
Confirmed: M2.8 ROMANIA
Earthquake
B
2026-07-19
M5.0 141 km SSW of Gataivai, Samoa
region: Samoa-Tonga Outer Rise
caught 1.2 days early
Confirmed: M5.0 141 km SSW of Gataivai, Samoa
Earthquake
A
2026-07-19
M3.02 5 km W of Bennington, Idaho
region: Bear Lake (Idaho-Utah border)
caught 2.5 days early
Confirmed: M3.02 5 km W of Bennington, Idaho
Earthquake
C
2026-07-19
M4.9 78 km NE of Simao, China
region: China (Sichuan-Yunnan)
caught 1.7 days early
Confirmed: M4.9 78 km NE of Simao, China
Earthquake
C
2026-07-19
M4.98 Mariana Islands Region
region: Mariana Trench
caught 1.0 days early
Confirmed: M4.98 Mariana Islands Region
Earthquake
C
2026-07-19
M4.91 Near Coast of Venezuela
region: Venezuela (El Pilar-Bocono-San Sebastian)
caught 0.7 days early
Confirmed: M4.91 Near Coast of Venezuela
Earthquake
C
2026-07-19
M3.7 HAITI REGION
region: Caribbean (Haiti-Puerto Rico-Lesser Antilles)
caught 0.3 days early
Confirmed: M3.7 HAITI REGION
Geyser Eruption
B
2026-07-19
Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 95.4 min)
region: Yellowstone
caught 0.1 days early
Confirmed: M0.0 Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 95.4 min)
Earthquake
B
2026-07-19
M2.8 19 km ESE of Honaunau-Napoopoo, Hawaii
region: Hawaii Big Island (deep tectonic, >=15 km)
caught 0.1 days early
Confirmed: M2.8 19 km ESE of Honaunau-Napoopoo, Hawaii
Earthquake
A
2026-07-19
M3.02 2 km S of Guánica, Puerto Rico
region: Swarm 18.0 -66.9
caught 1.0 days early
Confirmed: M3.02 2 km S of Guánica, Puerto Rico
Earthquake
B
2026-07-19
M2.9 61 km WSW of Karluk, Alaska
region: Alaska-Aleutian Arc
caught 2.3 days early
Confirmed: M2.9 61 km WSW of Karluk, Alaska
Earthquake
C
2026-07-19
M3.9 SOUTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA
region: Sumatra (Mentawai Gap)
caught 0.4 days early
Confirmed: M3.9 SOUTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA
Geyser Eruption
B
2026-07-19
Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 85.7 min)
region: Yellowstone
caught 0.1 days early
Confirmed: M0.0 Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 85.7 min)
Geyser Eruption
B
2026-07-19
Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 28.7 min)
region: Yellowstone
caught 0.0 days early
Confirmed: M0.0 Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 28.7 min)
Earthquake
D
2026-07-19
M4.57 Ethiopia
region: East Africa Rift
caught 1.6 days early
Confirmed: M4.57 Ethiopia
Geyser Eruption
B
2026-07-19
Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 32.6 min)
region: Yellowstone
caught 0.0 days early
Confirmed: M0.0 Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 32.6 min)
Earthquake
B
2026-07-19
M3.2 72 km NNE of Vieques, Puerto Rico
region: Swarm 18.9 -65.3
caught 0.1 days early
Confirmed: M3.2 72 km NNE of Vieques, Puerto Rico
Earthquake
A
2026-07-19
M4.9 Kermadec Islands, New Zealand
region: Kermadec Arc (Pacific-Australian subduction)
caught 3.2 days early
Confirmed: M4.9 Kermadec Islands, New Zealand
Earthquake
B
2026-07-19
M4.8 281 km SSE of Ushuaia, Argentina
region: Drake Passage / Shackleton Fracture Zone
caught 2.3 days early
Confirmed: M4.8 281 km SSE of Ushuaia, Argentina
Earthquake
B
2026-07-19
M3.06375300283763 10 km ENE of Coso Junction, CA
region: Southern California (UCERF3)
caught 1.1 days early
Confirmed: M3.06375300283763 10 km ENE of Coso Junction, CA
Earthquake
B
2026-07-19
M4.5 77 km NNW of Pārūn, Afghanistan
region: Afghanistan-Pakistan (Hindu Kush)
caught 0.7 days early
Confirmed: M4.5 77 km NNW of Pārūn, Afghanistan
Earthquake
B
2026-07-19
M4.96 Papua New Guinea Region
region: Papua New Guinea - Solomon Islands
caught 3.2 days early
Confirmed: M4.96 Papua New Guinea Region
Geyser Eruption
B
2026-07-19
Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 32.7 min)
region: Yellowstone
caught 0.0 days early
Confirmed: M0.0 Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 32.7 min)
Earthquake
B
2026-07-19
M2.6 83 km SE of Ugashik, Alaska
region: Alaska-Aleutian Arc
caught 1.8 days early
Confirmed: M2.6 83 km SE of Ugashik, Alaska
Earthquake
C
2026-07-19
M4.4 156 km WNW of Gorontalo, Indonesia
region: Indonesia (Sunda Arc)
caught 1.4 days early
Confirmed: M4.4 156 km WNW of Gorontalo, Indonesia
Earthquake
B
2026-07-19
M4.56 Off Coast of Oregon
region: Juan de Fuca Ridge
caught 2.6 days early
Confirmed: M4.56 Off Coast of Oregon
Earthquake
C
2026-07-19
M4.4 103 km WSW of Puerto Madero, Mexico
region: Mexico Pacific Coast (Guerrero-Oaxaca)
caught 2.5 days early
Confirmed: M4.4 103 km WSW of Puerto Madero, Mexico
Earthquake
A
2026-07-19
M4.94 Near Coast of Northern Chile
region: Chile/Peru Subduction Zone
caught 3.3 days early
Confirmed: M4.94 Near Coast of Northern Chile
Earthquake
B
2026-07-19
M4.1 235 km ESE of Attu Station, Alaska
region: Western Aleutians / Near Islands (dateline crossing)
caught 0.8 days early
Confirmed: M4.1 235 km ESE of Attu Station, Alaska
Geyser Eruption
B
2026-07-19
Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 3.8 min)
region: Yellowstone
caught 0.0 days early
Confirmed: M0.0 Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 3.8 min)
Earthquake
B
2026-07-19
M3.0 189 km W of Bandon, Oregon
region: Cascadia Subduction Zone
caught 3.1 days early
Confirmed: M3.0 189 km W of Bandon, Oregon
Earthquake
A
2026-07-19
M2.8 233 km ESE of Attu Station, Alaska
region: Swarm 51.9 176.2
caught 1.1 days early
Confirmed: M2.8 233 km ESE of Attu Station, Alaska
Earthquake
B
2026-07-19
M5.1 NICARAGUA
region: Central America (Guatemala-Panama)
caught 2.3 days early
Confirmed: M5.1 NICARAGUA
Earthquake
B
2026-07-19
M4.4 Bonin Islands, Japan region
region: Izu-Bonin / Ogasawara Arc
caught 1.8 days early
Confirmed: M4.4 Bonin Islands, Japan region
Earthquake
B
2026-07-18
M4.75 Near East Coast of Kamchatka
region: Kuril-Kamchatka Arc
caught 1.0 days early
Confirmed: M4.75 Near East Coast of Kamchatka
Geyser Eruption
B
2026-07-18
Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 62.7 min)
region: Yellowstone
caught 0.0 days early
Confirmed: M0.0 Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 62.7 min)
Geyser Eruption
B
2026-07-18
Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 67.7 min)
region: Yellowstone
caught 0.0 days early
Confirmed: M0.0 Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 67.7 min)
Earthquake
B
2026-07-18
M4.9 45 km north of Te Anau
region: Alpine Fault (South Island NZ)
caught 0.6 days early
Confirmed: M4.9 45 km north of Te Anau
Earthquake
B
2026-07-18
M3.1 ANEGADA, BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
region: Caribbean (Puerto Rico Trench)
caught 0.3 days early
Confirmed: M3.1 ANEGADA, BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
Earthquake
A
2026-07-18
M3.1 230 km ESE of Attu Station, Alaska
region: Swarm 52.0 176.2
caught 1.1 days early
Confirmed: M3.1 230 km ESE of Attu Station, Alaska
Earthquake
A
2026-07-18
M4.8 41 km SE of Port-Vila, Vanuatu
region: Vanuatu Arc (New Hebrides + S Loyalty / Matthew-Hunter)
caught 3.1 days early
Confirmed: M4.8 41 km SE of Port-Vila, Vanuatu
Earthquake
A
2026-07-18
M4.6 18 km SSE of Talisay, Philippines
region: Philippines
caught 2.7 days early
Confirmed: M4.6 18 km SSE of Talisay, Philippines
Earthquake
A
2026-07-18
M5.13 Tonga Islands
region: Tonga-Kermadec Subduction Zone
caught 2.1 days early
Confirmed: M5.13 Tonga Islands
Earthquake
D
2026-07-18
M3.2 40 km north of Te Anau
region: New Zealand
caught 0.2 days early
Confirmed: M3.2 40 km north of Te Anau
Earthquake
B
2026-07-18
M2.93 76 km NNW of Charlotte Amalie, U.S. Virgin Islands
region: Swarm 18.9 -65.2
caught 0.2 days early
Confirmed: M2.93 76 km NNW of Charlotte Amalie, U.S. Virgin Islands
Earthquake
D
2026-07-18
M4.5 PAKISTAN
region: Pakistan (Balochistan-Makran)
caught 0.0 days early
Confirmed: M4.5 PAKISTAN
Earthquake
B
2026-07-18
M5.0 141 km SSW of Gataivai, Samoa
region: Samoa-Tonga Outer Rise
caught 2.2 days early
Confirmed: M5.0 141 km SSW of Gataivai, Samoa
Earthquake
B
2026-07-18
M4.54 Andaman Islands, India Region
region: Andaman-Nicobar + N Sumatra Trench
caught 2.1 days early
Confirmed: M4.54 Andaman Islands, India Region
Earthquake
C
2026-07-18
M4.51 Kyrgyzstan
region: Tien Shan / Northwest China + Western Tien Shan (S. Kazakhstan)
caught 1.1 days early
Confirmed: M4.51 Kyrgyzstan
Earthquake
C
2026-07-18
M5.5 CENTRAL PERU
region: Peru Andes / Sub-Andean Foreland
caught 0.3 days early
Confirmed: M5.5 CENTRAL PERU
Earthquake
C
2026-07-18
M5.47 Northern Mid-Atlantic Ridge
region: Mid-Atlantic Ridge (Central + North Atlantic)
caught 2.1 days early
Confirmed: M5.47 Northern Mid-Atlantic Ridge
Earthquake
C
2026-07-18
M3.2 ROMANIA
region: Ukraine (Carpathians-Crimea-Vrancea)
caught 0.9 days early
Confirmed: M3.2 ROMANIA
Earthquake
C
2026-07-18
M4.9 40 km ENE of Shahrak-e Kūlūrī, Iran
region: Iran (Zagros-Alborz)
caught 0.3 days early
Confirmed: M4.9 40 km ENE of Shahrak-e Kūlūrī, Iran
Geyser Eruption
B
2026-07-18
Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 2.3 min)
region: Yellowstone
caught 0.0 days early
Confirmed: M0.0 Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 2.3 min)
Earthquake
A
2026-07-18
M5.05 Near Coast of Chiapas, Mexico
region: Aftershock Zone M5.7 14.2 -92.9
caught 0.3 days early
Confirmed: M5.05 Near Coast of Chiapas, Mexico
Geyser Eruption
B
2026-07-18
Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 12.7 min)
region: Yellowstone
caught 0.0 days early
Confirmed: M0.0 Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 12.7 min)
Earthquake
D
2026-07-18
M4.5 46 km NE of Tulsīpur, Nepal
region: Tibetan Plateau / Pamir
caught 0.7 days early
Confirmed: M4.5 46 km NE of Tulsīpur, Nepal
Earthquake
D
2026-07-18
M5.44 Windward Islands
region: Venezuela (El Pilar-Bocono-San Sebastian)
caught 1.7 days early
Confirmed: M5.44 Windward Islands
Earthquake
D
2026-07-18
M5.44 Windward Islands
region: Caribbean (Haiti-Puerto Rico-Lesser Antilles)
caught 1.7 days early
Confirmed: M5.44 Windward Islands
Earthquake
D
2026-07-18
M2.5 12 km ENE of San Martin, CA
region: Bay Area / Hayward-Calaveras
caught 0.2 days early
Confirmed: M2.5 12 km ENE of San Martin, CA
Earthquake
A
2026-07-18
M5.05 Near Coast of Chiapas, Mexico
region: 72 Km Sw Of Puerto Madero, Mexico
caught 0.3 days early
Confirmed: M5.05 Near Coast of Chiapas, Mexico
Geyser
B
2026-07-18
Fountain Geyser eruption (lead: 188 min)
region: Yellowstone Great Fountain
caught 0.1 days early
Confirmed: M0.0 Fountain Geyser eruption (lead: 188 min)
Earthquake
A
2026-07-18
M2.72 18 km SE of Silver Springs, Nevada
region: Walker Lane / Western Nevada
caught 2.3 days early
Confirmed: M2.72 18 km SE of Silver Springs, Nevada
Solar Flare
A
2026-07-18
M4.0 Solar flare C1.5 class
region: Global
caught 0.3 days early
Confirmed: M4.0 Solar flare C1.5 class
Earthquake
C
2026-07-18
M3.9 SOUTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA
region: Sumatra (Mentawai Gap)
caught 1.4 days early
Confirmed: M3.9 SOUTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA
Earthquake
C
2026-07-18
M2.6 CROATIA
region: Italy (Apennines-Sicily)
caught 1.6 days early
Confirmed: M2.6 CROATIA
Geyser Eruption
B
2026-07-18
Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 30.9 min)
region: Yellowstone
caught 0.0 days early
Confirmed: M0.0 Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 30.9 min)
Earthquake
A
2026-07-18
M4.9 Kermadec Islands, New Zealand
region: Kermadec Arc (Pacific-Australian subduction)
caught 4.2 days early
Confirmed: M4.9 Kermadec Islands, New Zealand
Geyser Eruption
B
2026-07-18
Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 31.9 min)
region: Yellowstone
caught 0.0 days early
Confirmed: M0.0 Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 31.9 min)
Earthquake
B
2026-07-18
M4.71 Azores Islands, Portugal
region: Azores (Mid-Atlantic Ridge)
caught 3.4 days early
Confirmed: M4.71 Azores Islands, Portugal
Earthquake
B
2026-07-18
M4.5 77 km NNW of Pārūn, Afghanistan
region: Afghanistan-Pakistan (Hindu Kush)
caught 1.7 days early
Confirmed: M4.5 77 km NNW of Pārūn, Afghanistan
Earthquake
C
2026-07-18
M4.8 South Sandwich Islands region
region: South Sandwich Islands
caught 0.5 days early
Confirmed: M4.8 South Sandwich Islands region
Earthquake
B
2026-07-18
M4.96 Papua New Guinea Region
region: Papua New Guinea - Solomon Islands
caught 4.2 days early
Confirmed: M4.96 Papua New Guinea Region
Earthquake
B
2026-07-18
M2.8 80 km E of Chignik, Alaska
region: Alaska-Aleutian Arc
caught 0.9 days early
Confirmed: M2.8 80 km E of Chignik, Alaska
Earthquake
A
2026-07-18
M2.8 19 km ESE of Honaunau-Napoopoo, Hawaii
region: Hawaii Big Island (shallow volcanic, <15 km)
caught 1.6 days early
Confirmed: M2.8 19 km ESE of Honaunau-Napoopoo, Hawaii
Earthquake
A
2026-07-18
M4.4 71 km N of Isangel, Vanuatu
region: Vanuatu Arc (New Hebrides + S Loyalty / Matthew-Hunter)
caught 3.5 days early
Confirmed: M4.4 71 km N of Isangel, Vanuatu
Earthquake
C
2026-07-18
M4.4 10 km E of El Bajío, Mexico
region: Mexico Pacific Coast (Guerrero-Oaxaca)
caught 0.4 days early
Confirmed: M4.4 10 km E of El Bajío, Mexico
Earthquake
C
2026-07-18
M4.4 156 km WNW of Gorontalo, Indonesia
region: Indonesia (Sunda Arc)
caught 2.4 days early
Confirmed: M4.4 156 km WNW of Gorontalo, Indonesia
Solar Flare
B
2026-07-18
Solar flare B9.0 class
region: Global
caught 0.0 days early
Confirmed: M0.0 Solar flare B9.0 class
Earthquake
A
2026-07-18
M3.02 2 km S of Guánica, Puerto Rico
region: Swarm 18.0 -66.9
caught 2.6 days early
Confirmed: M3.02 2 km S of Guánica, Puerto Rico
Geyser Eruption
B
2026-07-18
Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 6.8 min)
region: Yellowstone
caught 0.0 days early
Confirmed: M0.0 Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 6.8 min)
Earthquake
A
2026-07-18
M4.94 Near Coast of Northern Chile
region: Chile/Peru Subduction Zone
caught 4.3 days early
Confirmed: M4.94 Near Coast of Northern Chile
Earthquake
B
2026-07-18
M3.0 189 km W of Bandon, Oregon
region: Cascadia Subduction Zone
caught 4.2 days early
Confirmed: M3.0 189 km W of Bandon, Oregon
Geyser Eruption
B
2026-07-18
Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 61.8 min)
region: Yellowstone
caught 0.0 days early
Confirmed: M0.0 Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 61.8 min)
Earthquake
B
2026-07-18
M3.06375300283763 10 km ENE of Coso Junction, CA
region: Southern California (UCERF3)
caught 2.4 days early
Confirmed: M3.06375300283763 10 km ENE of Coso Junction, CA
Geyser Eruption
B
2026-07-17
Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 41.6 min)
region: Yellowstone
caught 0.0 days early
Confirmed: M0.0 Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 41.6 min)
Earthquake
B
2026-07-17
M4.56 Off Coast of Oregon
region: Juan de Fuca Ridge
caught 3.8 days early
Confirmed: M4.56 Off Coast of Oregon
Earthquake
B
2026-07-17
M4.75 Near East Coast of Kamchatka
region: Kuril-Kamchatka Arc
caught 2.0 days early
Confirmed: M4.75 Near East Coast of Kamchatka
Earthquake
B
2026-07-17
M4.72 Near Coast of Nicaragua
region: Central America (Guatemala-Panama)
caught 1.0 days early
Confirmed: M4.72 Near Coast of Nicaragua
Earthquake
C
2026-07-17
M4.2 MICHOACAN, MEXICO
region: Trans-Mexican Volcanic Belt
caught 0.0 days early
Confirmed: M4.2 MICHOACAN, MEXICO
Geyser Eruption
B
2026-07-17
Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 57.3 min)
region: Yellowstone
caught 0.0 days early
Confirmed: M0.0 Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 57.3 min)
Earthquake
A
2026-07-17
M2.67 6 km S of Amber, Oklahoma
region: Oklahoma (Induced)
caught 1.9 days early
Confirmed: M2.67 6 km S of Amber, Oklahoma
Geyser Eruption
B
2026-07-17
old_faithful tremor anomaly (power_db=16.8, z=5.6)
region: Yellowstone
caught 0.0 days early
Confirmed: M0.0 old_faithful tremor anomaly (power_db=16.8, z=5.6)
Earthquake
B
2026-07-17
M3.21 66 km N of Culebra, Puerto Rico
region: Caribbean (Puerto Rico Trench)
caught 0.2 days early
Confirmed: M3.21 66 km N of Culebra, Puerto Rico
Earthquake
B
2026-07-17
M3.4 231 km ESE of Attu Station, Alaska
region: Swarm 52.0 176.2
caught 0.2 days early
Confirmed: M3.4 231 km ESE of Attu Station, Alaska
Earthquake
A
2026-07-17
M4.8 41 km SE of Port-Vila, Vanuatu
region: Vanuatu Arc (New Hebrides + S Loyalty / Matthew-Hunter)
caught 4.1 days early
Confirmed: M4.8 41 km SE of Port-Vila, Vanuatu
Earthquake
A
2026-07-17
M4.6 18 km SSE of Talisay, Philippines
region: Philippines
caught 3.8 days early
Confirmed: M4.6 18 km SSE of Talisay, Philippines
Geyser Eruption
B
2026-07-17
old_faithful tremor anomaly (power_db=16.9, z=5.6)
region: Yellowstone
caught 0.0 days early
Confirmed: M0.0 old_faithful tremor anomaly (power_db=16.9, z=5.6)
Earthquake
C
2026-07-17
M4.4 10 km E of El Bajío, Mexico
region: Mexico Pacific Coast (Guerrero-Oaxaca)
caught 0.8 days early
Confirmed: M4.4 10 km E of El Bajío, Mexico
Earthquake
A
2026-07-17
M5.13 Tonga Islands
region: Tonga-Kermadec Subduction Zone
caught 3.1 days early
Confirmed: M5.13 Tonga Islands
Geyser Eruption
B
2026-07-17
Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 3.5 min)
region: Yellowstone
caught 0.0 days early
Confirmed: M0.0 Old Faithful eruption (lead time: 3.5 min)
Earthquake
C
2026-07-17
M4.57 Ethiopia
region: East Africa Rift
caught 3.4 days early
Confirmed: M4.57 Ethiopia
Earthquake
C
2026-07-17
M4.4 42 km NNW of Te Anau, New Zealand
region: New Zealand
caught 1.8 days early
Confirmed: M4.4 42 km NNW of Te Anau, New Zealand
Earthquake
A
2026-07-17
M3.02 5 km W of Bennington, Idaho
region: Bear Lake (Idaho-Utah border)
caught 4.5 days early
Confirmed: M3.02 5 km W of Bennington, Idaho
Earthquake
A
2026-07-17
M2.93 76 km NNW of Charlotte Amalie, U.S. Virgin Islands
region: Swarm 18.9 -65.2
caught 1.3 days early
Confirmed: M2.93 76 km NNW of Charlotte Amalie, U.S. Virgin Islands
Earthquake
C
2026-07-17
M4.9 78 km NE of Simao, China
region: China (Sichuan-Yunnan)
caught 3.7 days early
Confirmed: M4.9 78 km NE of Simao, China
Earthquake
B
2026-07-17
M4.98 Mariana Islands Region
region: Mariana Trench
caught 3.0 days early
Confirmed: M4.98 Mariana Islands Region
Earthquake
B
2026-07-17
M4.3 25 km N of Gázi, Greece
region: Greece-Aegean-Western Turkey
caught 0.6 days early
Confirmed: M4.3 25 km N of Gázi, Greece
Earthquake
C
2026-07-17
M4.4 Bonin Islands, Japan region
region: Bonin (Ogasawara) Islands
caught 3.0 days early
Confirmed: M4.4 Bonin Islands, Japan region
Earthquake
D
2026-07-17
M4.61 Southern Xinjiang, China
region: Tien Shan / Northwest China + Western Tien Shan (S. Kazakhstan)
caught 0.5 days early
Confirmed: M4.61 Southern Xinjiang, China
Earthquake
D
2026-07-17
M5.5 CENTRAL PERU
region: Peru Andes / Sub-Andean Foreland
caught 1.4 days early
Confirmed: M5.5 CENTRAL PERU
Historical Backtest Results
Models backtested against 21 days of historical USGS data.
| Region | TP | FP | FN | Precision | Recall | F1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| oklahoma | 2 | 26 | 0 | 7.1% | 100.0% | 13.3% |
| samoa | 1 | 3 | 0 | 25.0% | 100.0% | 40.0% |
| ucerf3 | 8 | 26 | 0 | 23.5% | 100.0% | 38.1% |
| cascadia | 1 | 27 | 0 | 3.6% | 100.0% | 6.9% |
| wasatch | 1 | 27 | 0 | 3.6% | 100.0% | 6.9% |
| new_madrid | 0 | 24 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| central_utah | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| hurricane_fault | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| alaska | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Verification Methodology
Every prediction is SHA-256 hashed at creation time and added to a tamper-proof hash chain. When a real-world event occurs (confirmed by USGS, NOAA, EMSC, NASA FIRMS, or NWS), the system automatically matches it against pre-existing predictions within 300km and 7 days.
Grading: A (80+ pts) to F (<20 pts) based on distance accuracy (0-50 pts) + prediction lead time (0-50 pts). Grade A requires <50km distance accuracy AND 72+ hours of advance warning.