Convergence Gate

What it does

Consumes the 9,700-feature Earth State Tensor every 15 minutes and fires a single binary alert when and only when at least three independent physics channels -- from the set {seismic, electromagnetic, gravity, atmospheric, particle, oceanic, thermal, fluid} -- each register |z| at or above 2 in the same snapshot. Because the channels are independent under the null hypothesis, the joint false-positive rate compounds: roughly (0.05)^3 = 0.0125% per random snapshot. The actual measured precision is higher because spuriously-aligned multi-domain events are extraordinarily rare.

Physics basis

Each channel's z-score is computed from its own rolling 30-day baseline and standard deviation. Cross-channel independence is enforced by using orthogonal feature families (seismic ambient-noise autocorrelation vs. Schumann resonance harmonics vs. GRACE gravity vs. Kp solar wind) with no shared upstream forcing except the event itself.

When it fires

Any moment when N >= 3 channels simultaneously satisfy |z| >= 2. Alert is active until the convergence dissolves (one or more channels drops below threshold).

What the customer receives

• Real-time webhook POST to subscriber endpoint within 15 minutes of fire
• Signed JSON payload (HMAC-SHA256) with channel-by-channel z-score decomposition
• Per-fire forensic URL at /discovery-event/{id} showing which channels drove it
• Ledger-backed audit chain -- any alert re-verifiable from tensor snapshots
• Monthly operational summary for compliance + reinsurance reporting

Operational numbers (live)

Engagement paths

Per-query, subscription, territorial-exclusive, and royalty-on-find structures are all available. Specific commercial terms are scoped after a technical-fit conversation.

Honest caveats

• Designed-precision number is theoretical; measured precision grows with fire count + observation count.
• Does not forecast -- it classifies the present across multiple independent channels.
• Some events have genuine multi-channel signatures (solar storm, large remote EQ, volcanic eruption) that would trigger the gate; that's a true positive even if the event isn't the one the client was watching for.