This week's earthquake watch
Is your area on this week's watch?
Every day DeepMap AI names the areas where earthquakes are picking up above their own normal. Each call is logged before its week starts. Seven days later we post what happened, hits and misses.
Place search uses OpenStreetMap. "Use my location" is checked in your browser and never leaves it.
On the watch right now
Each of these areas has a 7-day window open. The size is the smallest quake we are watching for. The normal odds are the chance of a quake that size in any week there, so you can see how unusual the call is.
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Our record
Every call we made, hits and misses
Each row is one area for one week. If a quake of the stated size hit inside the area that week, it is a hit. If not, it is a miss, and it stays on the list. Each area is counted once a week, so daily repeats do not pad the score.
Every method we run, graded in the open →
Quake sizes come from the U.S. Geological Survey catalogue and are read again each day, so a revised size is the one used. Every daily list is also posted on X at @DeepMapAI.
Coverage, not the watch
A wider list: where an M5+ is most likely this week
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Check it yourself
You do not have to trust us
- Logged first. Every forecast behind the watch goes into our public record the day we make it, with the time it was made.
- Locked. Each day the whole record gets a digital fingerprint, and that fingerprint is written into the Bitcoin blockchain. After that, nobody, us included, can change or remove a forecast without it showing.
- Posted. The watch list goes out on X when its week starts, so its time is public too.
- Checked. Download the record and check every fingerprint with our free script, or look up one forecast at a time.
Plain answers
What does "on the watch" mean?
An area goes on the watch when its earthquake activity is rising above its own normal level. We say the size we are watching for and the week it covers. It is not a warning that a quake will happen. Many weeks on the watch end with no quake of that size, and we count those as misses.
What are the normal odds?
The chance that any week in that area has a quake of the stated size, worked out from the area's past earthquakes. We store it with each call when the watch is posted. If the watch were no better than luck, the number of hits would match the normal odds. Compare the two numbers in the record above.
What is coverage, and why is it not accuracy?
Coverage counts how many big earthquakes had a forecast of ours on file before they hit. It sounds like accuracy, but it is not. A list that names more places covers more quakes without getting any better at saying where the next one will be. So we call it coverage, and we lead with the watch record, which is measured against the normal odds.
Is this an official warning?
No. DeepMap AI is not an official warning system. Follow your local authorities and emergency services. An area that is not on the watch is not safe from earthquakes. They can happen at any time.
Why show the misses?
Because a record that shows only the wins tells you nothing. We post every call before its week starts and every result after it ends, so you can judge us on all of it.
Is the score final?
No. It is a running score of the last 90 days, and it moves as weeks close. Separately, we wrote down a formal test of the watch in advance and timestamped it. It will be graded after January 24, 2027, pass or fail.