Active research · Status live

Research threads.

Recent result · shot #6 of 6
✓ MARS-A6 v0.1 + v0.2 NULL HARDENS: Fischbach 1986 disconfirmed.
7-station × 14-year × dual-stratum cosmic-ray pre-event asymmetry test now hardens: p = 0.972 at M6+, p = 0.633 at M7+ (v0.2 strengthens v0.1's p ≥ 0.43). First paper-worthy methods-clean MARS-SCI data point: publishable update to the 40-year Fischbach 1986 cosmic-ray-EQ conjecture. Pre-registered, Bitcoin-anchored to 4 OTS calendars before the data was opened. jump to card →

This is our open research log: the investigations that extend the platform beyond its shipping products. Some are validated and written up as dedicated science pages; some are honest null results; some are still accumulating data. Every card links to its code, its result, or its paper draft, so you can check the work rather than take our word for it.

A few we are proud of: a physical earthquake precursor we pre-registered in Bitcoin-anchored form, then retracted in public when our own verification showed it was the earthquakes recording themselves (the sealed record is intact), planetary-scale EM imaging of the crust, a volcano eruption jerk forecaster implementing the published method that forecast 92% of Piton de la Fournaise eruptions (Nature Comms, 2025), and a growing set of pre-registered, Bitcoin-anchored hypotheses: including several honest nulls we published because they are true, not because they flatter us.

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How this page works

The research threads update themselves.

Each card is tied to its code, its run log, and its result JSON. When a cron finishes or a commit lands, the status flips. Nothing on this page is hand-maintained copy that rots: the results are links to files in the repository that describe exactly what the experiment was and what it produced. If a thread gets rejected (like D), we say so in public. That's the point of a research log.