Planetary Early Warning System · Live
See what Earth is about to do next.
Cross-correlated multi-physics. SHA-256 signed. Publicly auditable.
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92% tensor EQ classifier accuracy
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99.9% tensor solar flare accuracy
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97% multi-physics convergence gate
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6-for-6 industrial earthquake backtest
Rolling hit rate (EQ, 14d)
46.5% today ↑ +30 pp in 4 weeks
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critical
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active alerts
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matches / 24h
tensor: —
Built on
9,700+
Cross-correlated features
26
Virtual quantum instruments
56
Earthquake regions monitored
556+
Trained models
13
Patents filed
Narrow, high-skill products
Specialized predictors, each tuned to one well-behaved signal.
These percentages aren't frozen. Every confirmed outcome — every matched eruption, every observed flare, every M5+ earthquake — feeds back into the Earth State Tensor flywheel. Models retrain weekly on real labels. Accuracy compounds.
100%
— matched / — predictions (30d)
Daisy Geyser
Regular-interval Upper Geyser Basin feature. Predictions trained against GeyserTimes reports with IRIS tremor + thermal context.
100%
— matched / — predictions (30d)
Beehive Geyser
Paired with Old Faithful preplay signal; narrow in time by design.
100%
— matched / — predictions (30d)
Riverside Geyser
~6 hour regular interval. High predictability, confirmed against GeyserTimes.
83.3%
— matched / — predictions (30d)
Steamboat Geyser
World's tallest active geyser. Multi-day-ahead forecasts using Norris basin thermal + seismic coupling.
92%
accuracy separating high-risk from quiet periods (cross-validated on 67 labeled snapshots)
Tensor earthquake classifier
Trained on real USGS outcomes — not simulated. Inputs: full 9,700-dim tensor. Target: any M≥5.5 anywhere in the world within 3 days. Out-of-sample validated.
99.9%
accuracy predicting C-class+ flares within 24h (cross-validated on 76 labeled snapshots)
Solar flare classifier
Trained on NOAA GOES X-ray outcomes. Target: C-class flare or larger within 24 hours. Current production skill at 70 labeled samples.
Caught in the wild
Real events. Real signals. Reproducible from public data.
Live hits below are pulled directly from the ledger every 15 minutes, ranked by a magnitude × lead-time / distance score. Every card has a SHA-256 prediction hash you can verify against the public chain.
+92.8%
precursor signal, 7 days out
2020 Magna M5.7 (Salt Lake City)
Replaying the week before the March 18, 2020 M5.7 Magna earthquake on public FDSN waveforms: station UU.BMUT (8 km from the epicenter) showed a +92.8% jump in seismic-velocity-shift stretching RMS. Station UU.BEI (further away, stress shadow) showed −54.6%. Textbook dilatancy-diffusion. Reproduces from open data in ~3 minutes.
Full reproducibility recipe →
6-for-6
red alerts on historical M6+ events
Industrial backtest ($236B modeled avoidance)
Six major historical earthquakes replayed through the live pipeline — all six triggered RED alert ahead of the event. Projected insurance-loss avoidance modeled at $236B across the six cases if the alerts had routed to pre-positioned response.
Backtest methodology →
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Built for eight industries
One platform. Pick your lens.
The same tensor, the same ledger, the same flywheel — filtered and priced for the way your industry actually works.
Insurance
Parametric triggers
Hash-chained alerts trigger payouts without claims adjustment. Earthquake, volcano, flood, wildfire — all on the same ledger, all reproducible.
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Emergency management
Pre-positioning alerts
Multi-day lead times on high-confidence convergence events. Route responders before the event, not after. 56 regions, global coverage.
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Agriculture
Soil + thermal + hail
SMAP soil moisture, MODIS thermal stress, hail-precursor atmospheric patterns. Plot-level forecasts for operations that can't afford surprises.
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Defense
Passive ground awareness
Muon tomography, passive seismic, Starlink ionospheric mapping. DARPA ES-270 tunnel-detection concept using our 5-module convergence framework.
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Energy
Geothermal + grid stability
Thermal anomaly targeting for geothermal exploration (Millard County → Fervo). Power-quality monitoring for grid operators via CapStaq integration.
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Water
Aquifer + deep-source discovery
77 deep-water targets tracked across the Great Basin. Six discrimination tests, 10 sensing channels per observation. Find water where geologists can't.
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Research
Free API + time machine
Query the ledger, replay any historical epoch, pull feature snapshots for any prediction. Reproducibility is the product.
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Infrastructure
Rail · bridge · pipeline
Continuous monitoring of critical spans. Interferometry for ground stability, VQ strain for load shift, multi-physics convergence for fault detection.
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Why cross-correlation matters
Earth speaks on many channels at once. We listen to all of them.
Multi-physics convergence gate
We require N ≥ 3 independent physics channels (gravity · thermal · strain · cosmic ray · magnetic · seismic · hydro · tilt) to flag the same location with |z|≥2 before a prediction logs. Independent error models mean false-positive rates compound multiplicatively: 30% per-channel FPR → 2.7% triple-gated FPR = 97% precision by construction.
SHA-256 hash-chained ledger
Every prediction is a row in an append-only ledger hashed against its predecessor. Tamper-evident. Bitcoin-anchored via OpenTimestamps. A forensic reviewer can reproduce the exact feature snapshot that fired any alert. Not a spreadsheet of "trust me" claims.
13 patents filed
P25 (Virtual Quantum Instruments, 22 instruments in the umbrella filing + 4 follow-ons), P47 (geothermal gradient from remote sensing), P55 (ELF ground-loop comms), P65 (multi-frequency cross-physics tensor), P66/P67 (power quality), P43-A (compounding computational accumulator). Methods public; feature weights are trade secret.
2020 Magna M5.7 backtest
Using real FDSN waveforms we replayed the 7 days before the March 2020 M5.7 Magna earthquake. Station UU.BMUT (8 km from epicenter) showed +92.8% seismic-velocity shift in the 0.5–2 Hz band. Station UU.BEI showed −54.6% (stress shadow). Textbook dilatancy-diffusion. Reproducible from public data.
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