{"categories":{"earthquake":{"name":"Earthquake Events","question_templates":["M{threshold}+ earthquake in {region} within {days} days"],"time_horizons_days":[1,3,7,14,30],"regions":["california","cascadia","alaska","japan","mexico","mediterranean","indonesia","chile","new_madrid","wasatch","oklahoma"],"magnitude_thresholds":[3.0,4.0,5.0,6.0,7.0]},"volcano":{"name":"Volcanic Activity","question_templates":["Eruption/unrest at {volcano} within {days} days"],"time_horizons_days":[7,14,30,90],"volcanoes":["kilauea","popocatepetl","etna","fuego","merapi","sakurajima"]},"tsunami":{"name":"Tsunami Events","question_templates":["Tsunami advisory/warning in {zone} within {days} days"],"time_horizons_days":[7,30,90],"zones":["pacific_nw","alaska_aleutian","japan","indonesia","chile","mediterranean"]},"severe_weather":{"name":"Severe Weather","question_templates":["Severe weather event (tornado/hail/wind) near {lat},{lon} within {days} days"],"time_horizons_days":[1,3,7]},"flood":{"name":"Flood Events","question_templates":["Flood stage exceedance near {lat},{lon} within {days} days"],"time_horizons_days":[3,7,14,30]}},"total_categories":5,"pricing":{"oracle_query":"$0.50/query","batch_query":"$0.25/question","resolve_query":"$0.25/query","markets_list":"free","health_check":"free","track_record":"free"},"output_formats":["polymarket (outcome_yes / outcome_no as float 0-1)","kalshi (yes_price_cents / no_price_cents as int 1-99)","chainlink_uint256 (probability * 10000 as uint256)"],"methodology":{"base_rates":"Gutenberg-Richter (earthquake), alert mapping (volcano), recurrence database (tsunami), climatology (weather/flood)","risk_adjustment":"ML risk modifier from 60+ models, 400+ features","probability_model":"Poisson (P = 1 - exp(-lambda*T))","calibration":"Risk-adjusted rate via DeepMap AI ensemble predictions","confidence_intervals":"Wilson score interval","tamper_proof":"SHA-256 hashed predictions logged to cryptographic ledger"},"data_sources":["USGS Earthquake Catalog","USGS Volcano Hazards Program","NOAA PTWC/NTWC (tsunami)","NOAA NWS Alerts","NOAA SWDI (tornado/hail/wind)","NOAA NWPS River Gauges","Open-Meteo Global Weather","GloFAS Global Flood Forecasts","DeepMap AI ML Models (60+)"]}